Ohio Senate Seat Is Lean Republican

Cook Political Report: “As other Sun Belt states like Georgia and Arizona are trending more Democratic, Ohio’s demographics are moving in the opposite direction. And Democrats have better opportunities in the two other open GOP-held seats in Pennsylvania and North Carolina. Still, even Republican strategists privately admit this decision from Portman isn’t good news for them and that they will have to fight — likely through a large and messy primary — to hold onto the seat. Republicans start with the advantage certainly, but it looks to be competitive…”

“So we start this now-open seat in the Lean Republican column. Recent trends don’t bode well for Democrats, so the GOP has the decided advantage, but it is indeed now among the list of competitive seats.”