Political Wire

SubscribeSign in
  • Front Page
  • Trending
  • Polling Dashboard
  • Trial Balloon
  • Books
  • Membership
    • Subscribe
    • Sign In
  • Sign In
  • Contact Us
Theme
Text size

House Democrats Lost Their Incumbency Advantage

May 13, 2021 · 2:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Ethan Chen: “The 2020 House results were not merely due to a GOP advantage down-ballot. For open House races, Republicans only did slightly better on average than President Trump.”

“House Republicans benefited from a significantly stronger incumbency advantage than House Democrats. This was the main reason for their performance.”

“The historical anomaly is not incumbency being stronger for the Republicans, but the absolute collapse of the advantage for Democrats.”

One possible reason: The lack of in-person canvassing during the pandemic.
Taegan

2020 Campaign

← PreviousCDC Says Vaccinated No Longer Need MasksNext →EPA Revokes Trump-Era Clean Air Rule

Latest on Political Wire

  • Oct 10Senator Facing Re-Election Finally Settles a Bakery Bill
  • Oct 10Quote of the Day
  • Oct 10Some Republicans Reject Trump’s Deal with Russia

Front page →

Political Wire is reader-supported. Join for ad-free reading, member posts and new features →

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

More about Taegan Goddard →

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was
    Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
    Play →
  • Yea or Nay?
    Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
    Play →
  • Split Decision
    Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
    Play →
  • Pollster
    Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
    Play →
  • Daily Trivia
    Four questions a day.
    Play →

A new game every day.

Your Account

Members

For the full experience, sign in.

Become a Member

  • Join Political Wire
  • Gift a Membership

Members Only

  • Weekly News Quiz
  • The Senate Map Has Turned Upside Down
  • Another Trouble Sign for Republicans
  • Another Brutal Warning Sign for Republicans
  • Who’s Running Ken Paxton’s Campaign?

?Political Trivia

  • The Way It Was →
  • Yea or Nay? →
  • Split Decision →
  • Pollster →
  • Daily Trivia →

Word of the Day Political Dictionary

Weaponize

The term “weaponize” refers to the strategic manipulation or transformation of information, institutions, or social issues into tools for gaining political advantage.

Read the definition →

Yesterday’s Word of the Day: Pen and Pad Briefing

Show me a random term

Copyright © 2026 · Goddard Media LLC

Political Wire® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC

Also from Goddard Media: Political Dictionary · Political Job Hunt · Electoral Vote Map

Privacy PolicyCorrections PolicyContact