There’s Little GOP Consensus If Trump Doesn’t Run

Mark McKinnon on a new Politico/Morning Consult poll:

“Another interesting twist that the pollsters noted is that when Trump is removed from the equation, respondents who identify as Republican—or who lean that way—show no real consensus. DeSantis is out in front of that field, appealing to almost a quarter of those polled. But he’s nearly neck and neck—hard as it is to believe—with none other than Donald Trump Jr., who pulls in 24%.”

“Moreover, since this poll was taken before the Supreme Court news, it’s not a reach to suggest that Biden—at the time the survey was taken—was likely at the lowest point in his presidency. Even so, he still beats all projected Republican comers.”