Senate Democrats May Have Further to Fall In 2024

Charlie Cook: “My friends who are Democrats, particularly those of the more progressive variety, don’t seem to understand how deep they are in the political hole this year — and just how hard it might be to get out of it in 2024, particularly in the Senate.”

“Should Republicans net more than one seat this fall and retake the chamber, Democrats will have a tall order to get it back in 2024. They’ll be defending 23 seats to the GOP’s 10. Of the 23, three are in states Trump carried: Jon Tester in Montana, Sherrod Brown in Ohio, and Joe Manchin in West Virginia. Another five come from states that Biden won by 5 points or less. None of the 10 GOP seats up are in Biden states and only one, Rick Scott in Florida, is in a state that Trump won by 5 points or less.”