Political Wire

  • Front Page
  • Members
    • Subscribe
    • Members FAQ
    • Sign In
    • Exclusive Analysis
    • My Favorites
  • Trending News
  • Resources
    • Politics Extra
    • Political Job Hunt
    • Political Dictionary
    • Electoral Vote Map
  • Advertise
  • Newsletter
  • Contact Us
You are here: Home / 2024 Campaign / What 2022 Tells Us About the 2024 Electoral Map

What 2022 Tells Us About the 2024 Electoral Map

November 23, 2022 at 8:44 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Iowa, Florida and Ohio — each of them carried by former President Barack Obama as recently as 2012 — weren’t really considered core battleground states in 2020. Now, after Republican blowouts in those states this fall, they should be removed from the 2024 discussion altogether.“

“At the same time, strong Democratic midterm performances in New Hampshire and Minnesota — a state which offered former President Donald Trump a rare offensive opportunity in 2020 — suggest they might not be worth contesting in 2024. Minnesota, which some Republicans regarded as a Trump sleeper state in 2020, turned out to be a mirage…”

“For Democrats, perhaps the most important midterm revelation of all was that the party is well-positioned to defend its ‘Blue Wall,’ the term applied to a northern tier of 18 states, stretching from coast to coast, that appeared to provide a structural advantage for a Democratic nominee — at least prior to 2016, when Trump blew it up.”

I’ve reset the 2024 electoral map. Leave your reactions in the comments.

FavoriteLoadingSave to Favorites
Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Share on LinkedIn Share on Email Share on SMS

Filed Under: 2024 Campaign

Recent Posts

Biden’s Notebooks Were Seized by FBI in Search

January 27, 2023 at 10:21 pm EST

“Notebooks that President Joe Biden wrote in during his time as vice president are among the items the FBI took from one of his Delaware homes during a search there…

Many of George Santos’ Donors Don’t Seem To Exist

January 27, 2023 at 10:16 pm EST

Mother Jones: “The contributions are among more than a dozen major donations to the 2020 Santos campaign for which the name or the address of the donor cannot be confirmed,…

Criminal Probe Launched Into George Santos

January 27, 2023 at 6:45 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 6:46 pm EST

“The Justice Department has asked the Federal Election Commission to hold off on any enforcement action against George Santos, the Republican congressman from New York who lied about key aspects…

New Panel Already Considering Subpoenas

January 27, 2023 at 6:00 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 4:49 pm EST

“Republican members of the newly created House subcommittee investigating the ‘weaponization’ of the federal government discussed the possibility of issuing subpoenas during their first closed-door meeting on Friday,” Axios reports….

Wisconsin Judge Opening Gun Range That Serves Alcohol

January 27, 2023 at 5:09 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 5:10 pm EST

Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate Jennifer Dorow, and her husband Brian, are developing an indoor gun range that would not only host weddings and other events, but would also serve alcohol,…

Man Who Pepper Sprayed Officer Gets Nearly 7 Years

January 27, 2023 at 4:55 pm EST

“A federal judge sentenced the Pennsylvania man who pepper sprayed U.S. Capitol Police Officer Brian Sicknick on Jan. 6, 2021, to six years and eight months in prison Friday, saying…

RNC Condemns Kanye West and Nick Fuentes

January 27, 2023 at 4:47 pm EST

The RNC approved a resolution at their annual meeting Friday condemning antisemitism — including specifically calling out Kanye West and Nick Fuentes — but made no mention of their infamous…

Pence Admits Mistakes with Classified Documents

January 27, 2023 at 4:00 pm EST

Former Vice President Mike Pence said Friday that he had been previously unaware classified documents were at his Indiana home but that “mistakes were made” and he takes full responsibility,…

Ronna McDaniel Wins Fourth Term as RNC Chair

January 27, 2023 at 3:22 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 3:23 pm EST

“The Republican National Committee on Friday voted to reelect Ronna McDaniel to a fourth two-year term as party chair, opting not to punish her for the GOP’s recent string of…

The White House Should Have Been More Transparent

January 27, 2023 at 3:00 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 2:50 pm EST

David Axelrod: “Crisis communications, at its core, is pretty simple: Discern where the story is going. Fully disclose the facts. Admit where mistakes were made. And do it all as…

The FEC Wants Answers from George Santos

January 27, 2023 at 2:28 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 2:51 pm EST

Rep. George Santos’ (R-NY) campaign committee “is facing new questions from federal regulators after submitting paperwork listing a new treasurer who says he never took the job,” the AP reports….

Former County GOP Chairman Faces Child Porn Charges

January 27, 2023 at 2:15 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 2:16 pm EST

Rocky Hayes, the former Jones County South Dakota Republican party chairman, has been charged with three counts of possession of child pornography, the Sioux Falls Argus Leader reports.Save to Favorites

House Oversight Chair Promises Newsmax He’ll Investigate

January 27, 2023 at 2:12 pm EST

“After relentlessly crying for Congress to intervene because DirecTV dumped it, pro-Trump channel Newsmax has received a promise from a top Republican to hold congressional hearings on the matter,” the…

California Senate Race Sets Up Clash of Titans

January 27, 2023 at 2:00 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 9:40 am EST

“A Senate race pitting the man who spearheaded former President Donald Trump’s first impeachment, Adam Schiff, against fundraising powerhouse and wonk superstar Katie Porter would guarantee fireworks and a price…

Elections Losses Deepen Arizona GOP’s Insistence of Fraud

January 27, 2023 at 1:34 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 1:36 pm EST

Washington Post: “Just a few months ago, Arizona Republicans lost nearly every major statewide midterm race after campaigning for months on false claims that the 2020 election was stolen from…

Arizona Republicans Approve Deletion of Emails and Texts

January 27, 2023 at 1:32 pm EST

“Republicans in Arizona’s Legislature have voted along party lines to approve new rules that will allow state lawmakers to destroy emails after 90 days and delete text messages as quickly…

Video Shows Struggle for Hammer During Pelosi Attack

January 27, 2023 at 1:02 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 1:23 pm EST

“Video released publicly Friday shows the husband of former U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi fighting for control of a hammer with his assailant during a brutal attack in the couple’s…

Politics Extra

January 27, 2023 at 1:01 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 1:07 pm EST

We’re in the second week of Politics Extra. Subscribe now and you’ll get it in your inbox at the end of each weekday. Save to Favorites

The Man Who May Challenge Putin for Power

January 27, 2023 at 1:00 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 9:19 am EST

Mikhail Zygar: “President Vladimir Putin of Russia, it seems, has finally noticed that the war in Ukraine created a dangerous competitor to his power: Yevgeny Prigozhin, the founder of the…

Biden Has Prioritzed Women of Color as Federal Judges

January 27, 2023 at 12:53 pm ESTJanuary 27, 2023 at 12:54 pm EST

In his judicial appointments so far, President Biden “has prioritized diversity throughout the federal court system,” The 19th reports. “Biden’s judicial appointees are the most diverse of any U.S. president…

« Lisa Murkowski and Mary Peltola Win in Alaska
Trump Aides Advising Bolsonaro »


Classified Ads

☑️ Subscribe to Political Wire's new companion newsletter Politics Extra. It's free.

Jan 30

Place your ad here.



Your Account

Sign in

Latest for Members

  • Expanding Ballot Access in the States
  • The Question House Republicans Won’t Answer in Public

About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Follow me on Twitter, Mastodon and Post.News.

Praise for Political Wire

“There are a lot of blogs and news sites claiming to understand politics, but only a few actually do. Political Wire is one of them.”

— Chuck Todd, host of “Meet the Press”

“Concise. Relevant. To the point. Political Wire is the first site I check when I’m looking for the latest political nugget. That pretty much says it all.”

— Stuart Rothenberg, editor of the Rothenberg Political Report

“Political Wire is one of only four or five sites that I check every day and sometimes several times a day, for the latest political news and developments.”

— Charlie Cook, editor of the Cook Political Report

“The big news, delicious tidbits, pearls of wisdom — nicely packaged, constantly updated… What political junkie could ask for more?”

— Larry Sabato, Center for Politics, University of Virginia

“Political Wire is a great, great site.”

— Joe Scarborough, host of MSNBC’s “Morning Joe”

“Taegan Goddard has a knack for digging out political gems that too often get passed over by the mainstream press, and for delivering the latest electoral developments in a sharp, no frills style that makes his Political Wire an addictive blog habit you don’t want to kick.”

— Arianna Huffington, founder of The Huffington Post

“Political Wire is one of the absolute must-read sites in the blogosphere.”

— Glenn Reynolds, founder of Instapundit

“I rely on Taegan Goddard’s Political Wire for straight, fair political news, he gets right to the point. It’s an eagerly anticipated part of my news reading.”

— Craig Newmark, founder of Craigslist.

Copyright © 2023 · Goddard Media LLC | Privacy Policy

Political Wire ® is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC