Battle for House Starts as a Toss Up

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball finds the overall battle for House control in 2024 starts as a Toss-up.

“Relatively similar numbers of Democratic and Republican seats start in the most competitive Toss-up and Leans categories, although Republicans start with a few more targets in large part because of the likelihood that they will benefit from redistricting in North Carolina and Ohio.”

“Big blue states California and New York, where Republicans have made key gains over the past couple of cycles, loom large as Democrats plot a path back to the House majority.”