Trump Could Absolutely Beat Biden

Jonathan Last: “No matter who the nominees are, the chances of one major-party candidate beating another don’t get much further apart than 65-35. That is the reality of our system, no matter how strong the one is and how weak the other is.”

“If you’re playing 1,000 hands of blackjack you feel awesome about 65-35 odds. But for a one-time outcome? When the stakes are high? Even 65-35 is equivalent to a coin flip and it ought to scare the crap out of you.”