A new Economist poll tracker in the U.K. finds that the Labour Party has a poll lead over the Tories of around 20 percentage points — the largest gap one year before an election since Labour’s landslide victory under Tony Blair in 1997.
“Converting national polls to seats in Parliament is not straightforward in Britain’s first-past-the-post electoral system. But using uniform national swing—which assumes that changes in vote share are constant across constituencies and has historically been a reasonable approximation of the final result—suggests that the Conservatives could lose nearly three-quarters of their seats at the next election.”
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