Are We in the Midst of a Political Realignment?

Nate Cohn: “Try to imagine how wide my eyes got when I read an article in The Financial Times arguing that America is undergoing a ‘racial realignment,’ seemingly based on the results of our last New York Times/Siena College poll, which found President Biden leading by a slim 10 points among nonwhite voters, a group that usually backs Democrats by 50-plus points.”

“This claim strikes me as, at best, premature. The general election campaign is barely underway, and poll results in February do not constitute a realignment. As we have written several times: No one should be remotely surprised if Mr. Biden ultimately reassembles his support among Black and Latino voters. Alternately, many of the dissenting voters may simply stay home, as they did in the midterms. This would be bad for Mr. Biden, but it would be no realignment.”

Earlier for members: Are Democrats Losing Support form Voters of Color?