Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 188
Nothing to See Here
Swing-O-Matic shows what could happen in the 2024 election if Joe Biden or Donald Trump gains ground with different demographic groups — and if turnout shifts among others.
One interesting finding is that a 20 percentage point slippage for Biden among Black and Hispanic voters would not lead to a Biden loss if he improved his margin with white voters by two percentage points.
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.
Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.
Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.
Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.
Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.