Swing-O-Matic shows what could happen in the 2024 election if Joe Biden or Donald Trump gains ground with different demographic groups — and if turnout shifts among others.
One interesting finding is that a 20 percentage point slippage for Biden among Black and Hispanic voters would not lead to a Biden loss if he improved his margin with white voters by two percentage points.
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Taegan Goddard
Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.
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