FiveThirtyEight launched interactive polling averages for the 2024 presidential general election.
They currently show incumbent Joe Biden and Donald Trump essentially tied in national polls and Trump with a tenuous lead in key swing states.
Key takeaway: “But there’s considerable uncertainty in those numbers. To communicate this, we are also publishing uncertainty intervals for our horse-race averages for the first time. These intervals — represented by the red and blue shaded areas around each line — are kind of like the range of possible precipitation reported in a weather forecast, showing you could get anywhere from, say, 1 to 3 inches of rain in an upcoming storm.”
