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A Debate Hedge?

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Jonathan Last: “You don’t want to hear this, but what if Biden is a disaster? What if he can’t string five words together and gets lost and confused? What if, post-debate, Biden’s numbers crater?”

“Well, by stress-testing this possibility on June 27, Democrats are still ahead of the convention and could, in theory, swap out candidates should Biden decide to step aside.”

“I don’t think that’s going to happen. Maybe it’s a 1-in-100 chance. But having the debate in June is an insurance policy—a hedge against the worst possible outcome. And there’s a reason people buy insurance.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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