Tale of Two Electorates

Cook Political Report: “Increasingly, 2024 is a tale of two electorates: not just left versus right or white versus nonwhite, but high-engagement versus low-engagement. And, it’s a major reversal from the past.”

“During the Obama era, it was generally true that Democrats performed better when more people voted (remember the “rising American electorate” of young and nonwhite new registrants in 2008 and 2012?). But so far, the defining data point of the 2020s may be that former President Donald Trump is performing the best with the most peripherally-engaged voters. Meanwhile, Democrats have made huge gains among the most civic-minded voters who not only show up in presidential years, but reliably vote in midterms, primaries and special elections as well.”