Trump’s Polling Lead Is Fragile

Dan Pfeiffer: “Trump’s advantage in these polls could not be more precarious. While high-frequency voters back Biden, Trump leads with the folks who vote less often, pay less attention to the news, and engage less frequently with politics.”

“Many of these people voted for Biden in 2020 and come from constituencies with a long history of voting for Democrats… Keeping these disengaged Democratic-leaning voters in Biden’s camp is a tall order.”

Nate Cohn: “Importantly, these disengaged low-turnout voters are often from predominantly Democratic constituencies. Many continue to identify as Democratic-leaning and still back Democratic candidates for U.S. Senate, but they nonetheless are backing away from Mr. Biden in startling numbers.”