The new FiveThirtyEight forecast shows Joe Biden with a slightly better chance — just 53% — of winning the presidential election.
It’s true that Donald Trump has a slight edge in the polls, but the fundamentals still favor Biden.
Key takeaway: “At this point in the race, our margin of error for these state forecasts is huge. There are two reasons for this: First, it is early. As pollsters are bound to remind you many times between now and November, polls are snapshots of public opinion as it stands today, not predictions of vote share in the eventual election.”
