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Trials Have Little Impact on the Presidential Race

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A new Monmouth poll finds 47% of American voters agree with the jury’s verdict finding Donald Trump guilty of falsifying business records, while 34% disagree.

However, 57% think it is likely that the decision to bring these charges against Trump was politically motivated. As a comparison, 48% of voters think the charges against Hunter Biden were politically motivated.

In the end, almost nothing has changed in voter intentions about the upcoming election since before these trials began. Just over 4 in 10 registered voters say they will either definitely (31%) or probably (12%) vote for Joe Biden and a nearly identical number will definitely (32%) or probably (12%) support Donald Trump.

About half say they will definitely not vote for Biden (49%) and an identical number say they have definitely ruled out Trump (49%). These results have not moved much since last fall.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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