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Harris Has Opened a Second Path to Victory

August 15, 2024 · 2:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “According to our polling model, Harris still trails Trump in the electoral college tally if the election were held today and every state votes as their polling average currently demonstrates. Nonetheless, she would be the favorite if voters today went to the polls because Harris now has more paths to the presidency than Donald Trump — that is, she is competitive in more states that could add up to 270 votes or an electoral college victory.”

“Our modeling shows that Harris has two paths to possible success: the Rust Belt states of Michigan. Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and the Sun Belt states of Georgia, Arizona and Nevada (she could win in either region and still claim the White House). Meanwhile, Trump’s must win both the Rust Belt and Sun Belt to triumph.”

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Taegan Goddard

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Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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