Jonathan Last: “Here is the reality: Donald Trump’s best path to victory goes right through a mud pit and he’s going to do everything possible to drag Kamala Harris into it with him.”
“What does Trump’s electoral coalition look like? He has a hard ceiling at 47 percent of the vote and his coalition is made up disproportionately of low-propensity voters.”
“Low-propensity voter is a euphemism for someone who does not engage in politics at the level of policy. These are people who don’t vote, except for when Trump is on the ballot.”
“And they make up a gigantic share of Trump’s coalition.”
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