FiveThirtyEight has a new “what-if” picker to let you choose a winner in each swing state and see how it would change their presidential election forecast.
For instance, if Harris were guaranteed to win Pennsylvania, she would win the election in 88% of simulations.


?Political Trivia
Eight moments in political history. Put them on a timeline.
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Five senators. Three bills. Can you guess how they all voted?
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Nine Justices. One case. How did they rule?
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Do you have your finger on the pulse of America?
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Four questions a day.
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A new game every day.