Trump Shows Signs of Strength in the Sun Belt

A new series of New York Times/Siena polls of likely voters:

• Arizona: Trump 50%, Harris 45%
• Georgia: Trump 49%, Harris 45%
• North Carolina: Trump 49%, Harris 47%

“But in one sign of how these contests remain up for grabs, about 15 percent of the electorate in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina described themselves as undecided or not definitely decided, leaving open the possibility that they could still change their minds.”

Nate Cohn: “In one sense, the finding is very clear: It’s a good set of numbers for Mr. Trump. It’s not necessarily an exceptional one, as Ms. Harris’s easiest path to victory lies in the Northern battlegrounds. But Mr. Trump’s path to victory begins in the Sun Belt; if he wins these three states, he wouldn’t need many more.”