What If the Polls Are Wrong?

Nate Cohn: “While a relatively quiet political environment makes us more confident in the state of the race, there are still no guarantees.”

“If the polls are off as they were two or four years ago, the outcome might be very different than the polls suggest today. Either candidate could win decisively.”

“With this much uncertainty, the polls don’t suggest that either candidate is a clear favorite. At this point, there’s a good chance they never will.”