Trump Holds Only a Narrow Lead in Florida

A new Napolitan News Service poll in Florida finds Donald Trump barely ahead of Kamala Harris, 50% to 48%.

Silver Bulletin: “As of today, our model gives Kamala Harris a 21% chance of winning Florida’s 30 electoral votes. Now, a one-in-five chance isn’t bad, but it isn’t great either. For perspective, this scenario is about as likely as Harris winning Alaska. So let’s be clear: Harris is the definite underdog here. There are however a few things that make the race more interesting than the 21% win probability would imply.”