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Trump Holds Only a Narrow Lead in Florida

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A new Napolitan News Service poll in Florida finds Donald Trump barely ahead of Kamala Harris, 50% to 48%.

Silver Bulletin: “As of today, our model gives Kamala Harris a 21% chance of winning Florida’s 30 electoral votes. Now, a one-in-five chance isn’t bad, but it isn’t great either. For perspective, this scenario is about as likely as Harris winning Alaska. So let’s be clear: Harris is the definite underdog here. There are however a few things that make the race more interesting than the 21% win probability would imply.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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