Here’s What My Gut Says About the Election

Nate Silver: “My gut says Donald Trump. And my guess is that it is true for many anxious Democrats.”

“But I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut — including mine. Instead, you should resign yourself to the fact that a 50-50 forecast really does mean 50-50. And you should be open to the possibility that those forecasts are wrong, and that could be the case equally in the direction of Mr. Trump or Ms. Harris.”