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Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory

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Wall Street Journal: “Prices on four betting platforms all point to an election victory for Donald Trump. Prices on PredictIt, which in recent days suggested Kamala Harris had the better chance of winning, have now flipped back in Trump’s favor.”

“Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on Kalshi, Polymarket and Smarkets put the Republican candidate’s chances of success at between 57% and 61.5%. Political polls, meanwhile, show the two candidates neck and neck.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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