Two Fundamental Questions Will Shape 2026

Amy Walter: “Even as the possibility of new maps in Texas and California may change the size and the shape of the 2026 playing field, the fate of the Republican-controlled House is ultimately still going to be determined by two fundamental questions: how do voters feel about the state of the economy, and how do independent voters assess the party in power?”

“Or, as Matthew Continetti put it in a recent column for Commentary magazine, Republicans’ ability to preserve their congressional majorities relies on ‘inflation and independents.’”