Rating the Proposed New California Map

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Much like the proposed Republican gerrymander of Texas, this map would give Democrats a chance to win up to five additional seats. Three of their targeted seats would be fairly easy pickups, while two of them would be more like Toss-ups.”

“Additionally, the map would help several incumbent Democrats in competitive seats. This makes it potentially more impactful overall than the Texas map, because Texas Republicans did not need to protect any of their incumbents.”

“Even if California is successful, though, Republicans still have more states beyond Texas where they can look for additional seats than Democrats do.”