Is Susan Collins Toast?

Eli McKown-Dawson: “The more the state aligns with national trends, the more vulnerable she’ll be — to the point where the race is a toss-up, or even leans Democratic, as some early statistical models show. But she’s probably less vulnerable than a naive read of the data would suggest. We sometimes talk about ‘generic’ candidates, but Collins has been about as far from a generic Republican as you can get when it comes to getting reelected in Maine.”

“So we’re in what I’ve taken to calling a Schrödinger’s Collins situation: she’s simultaneously one of the most vulnerable Senate incumbents and as much of a Maine institution as the lobster roll.”