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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

Can Jasmine Crockett Win in Texas?

December 9, 2025 · 7:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

Dan Pfeiffer: “Crockett’s likely entrance sparked immediate dismay from certain pundits and political strategists who argue that nominating her would doom Democrats in November. Predictably, that reignited the Democratic Party’s eternal debate over electability—which types of candidates can actually win in purple or red terrain?”

“This debate has been ever-present, but it exploded after 2016 and dominated the 2020 primary. Joe Biden’s strongest argument was that he was the Democrat most likely to beat Trump. And just this week, after Aftyn Behn lost a heavily Republican special election in Tennessee-7 by an unexpectedly narrow margin, people returned to questioning whether a ‘moderate’ might have done better. Of course, the electability debate is often drenched in racist and misogynistic assumptions that give white men a presumption of electability denied to women and people of color.”

“As frustrating as the debate is, it matters.”

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Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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