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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 193

The Magnificent Seven

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 193: The Magnificent Seven

18 House Races Shift Towards the Democrats

January 15, 2026 · 1:02 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Cook Political Report: “Ten months out from Election Day, it’s increasingly clear that Democrats are in a strong position to win control of the House this November.”

“All the major indicators — the president’s unpopularity, special election results and the generic congressional ballot — point to a favorable environment for Democrats. President Donald Trump’s approval rating sits at 42%, driven by Americans’ widespread frustration over the economy. And Democratic candidates’ consistent overperformance in special elections shows their voters are more motivated to turn out than Republicans — despite the fact that many Democratic voters have a dim view of their own party.”

“As the contours of the battleground map come into view, we’re shifting 18 ratings in favor of Democrats.”

Perhaps even more important is that four races moved from Lean Republican to Toss Up.
Taegan

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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