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Maine Senate Race Is Still a Toss Up

July 17, 2026 · 10:55 am ET · Leave a Comment

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: “Democrats should ultimately end up with a less damaged candidate against Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) than Graham Platner was, although that is a low bar.”

“We are keeping the Maine Senate race at Toss-up.”

“But we are making some other moves in Maine: We are upgrading Democrats’ chances in the open-seat gubernatorial race and making Republicans stronger favorites to flip the open 2nd District.”

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Taegan Goddard

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Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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