Can Polls Measure the True Strength of the Left?

Nate Cohn: “Progressives had high hopes of dominant victories in marquee primaries in Michigan and Wisconsin, but in the end their candidates fared much worse than expected. The results would have been a lot less disappointing if the pre-election polls hadn’t been so far off.”

“The polls helped set extraordinarily high expectations for progressives: Dr. Abdul El-Sayed was ahead by double digits in the Senate primary in Michigan, and Francesca Hong led by more than 20 points in the Wisconsin governor’s primary.”

“Dr. El-Sayed ultimately won by one percentage point. Ms. Hong lost.”