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9 p.m. – The Midwest and New York

November 3, 2026 · 9:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Another large wave arrives, alongside the final poll closings in Michigan, Kansas and Texas.

  • Iowa Senate: Ashley Hinson (R) vs. Josh Turek (D).
  • Iowa Governor: Rob Sand (D) vs. Zach Lahn (R).
  • Wisconsin Governor: David Crowley (D) vs. Tom Tiffany (R).
  • Arizona Governor: Katie Hobbs (D) vs. Andy Biggs (R).
  • Minnesota Senate: Peggy Flanagan (D) vs. Michele Tafoya (R).
  • Nebraska Senate: Pete Ricketts (R) vs. independent Dan Osborn.
  • NY-17: Rep. Mike Lawler’s (R) competitive House seat.
  • AZ-06: Rep. Juan Ciscomani (R) vs. JoAnna Mendoza (D).

What to watch: Dubuque County, Iowa, as a measure of movement among white working-class voters. Also watch the competitive New York and Arizona House races and the growing vote totals in Michigan and Texas. Arizona does not release its first results until 10 p.m.

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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