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How the MAGA Map Cracked

November 11, 2026 · 12:25 pm ET · Leave a Comment

David Weigel: “It’s easy to understand why Republicans couldn’t imagine the Trump coalition cracking. The MAGA electoral map, first built in 2016, stayed mostly intact for eight years and five elections. Rural areas stayed red or got redder. Non-white, working class areas drifted away from Democrats. The party of the New Deal was reduced to an urban and suburban archipelago, blue smudges on a red map that the president liked to show off to White House visitors.”

“One good thing about America’s languid vote count is that a more interesting picture fills in after the big story is over. We knew last week that the Trump coalition came apart, and we’re learning now that Democrats won the country by 14 points, in the average House vote. “

“Republicans couldn’t imagine that shift before Tuesday. Obviously, they didn’t plan for it when they heeded the president, in deep red states, and re-drew congressional maps.”

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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