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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 189

Navigating the Nonsense

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 189: Navigating the Nonsense

Quote of the Day

September 28, 2026 · 6:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

“I don’t plan on dying in office. But if I did, I don’t want a Democrat governor choosing my successor.”

— Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA), quoted by the Washington Post.

Trump Refuses Off-Ramp to His Biggest Political Problem

September 28, 2026 · 6:13 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Poll after poll shows a majority of voters don’t approve of how President Donald Trump has handled the war, think the United States is losing and blame the conflict for rising prices,” the Washington Post reports.

“That is why it was shocking when Trump told reporters Saturday morning that he rejected an Iranian plan to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the key shipping corridor whose disruption has upended the global economy.”

Bloomberg: Trump rejects Iran’s Hormuz offer as U.S. borrowing costs, oil rise.

Iowa Republicans Try to Motivate ‘Frustrated’ Base

September 28, 2026 · 6:13 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “A combination of factors has made Iowa, where Trump expanded his winning margin to more than 13 percentage points in 2024, a tougher landscape for Republicans. The Iran war has pushed up diesel and gasoline prices, squeezing farmers and truckers, while the trade fight with China has hurt soybean growers. And despite the bright spot of low unemployment, Iowa’s economy shrank slightly in the first quarter of 2026, and ranked 48th among states for growth for that quarter.”

U.S. Pressure Is Awakening an Energy Giant in Canada

September 28, 2026 · 6:05 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Canada wants to become an energy superpower. If it has the will, there is a way,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The country is the world’s fourth-largest oil producer and fifth-largest natural-gas producer. The oil-and-gas sector represents about a fifth of the country’s exports, making it the largest contributor, according to Statistics Canada. But it sends nearly all of its natural-gas exports and about 90% of crude-oil exports to the U.S. limiting its global influence.”

“President Trump’s trade war and the Iran conflict have ignited Canada’s ambition to diversify its energy exports.”

France’s Far-Right Surges in Senate Elections

September 28, 2026 · 5:53 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The French far-right leader Marine Le Pen has said her 2027 presidential campaign will be boosted after her anti-immigration party, the National Rally (RN), and its allies secured a record 14 seats in partial senate elections this weekend,” The Guardian reports.

“Le Pen called the results a ‘historic victory’ and ‘major milestone’ after her party cleared the 10-seat threshold to be able to form a senate group for the first time, following an indirect vote by local officials including mayors and councillors.”

Roy Cooper Holds Comfortable Lead in North Carolina

September 28, 2026 · 5:48 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new AARP poll finds Roy Cooper (D) leading Michael Whatley (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 53% to 42%.

Senate Race
Roy Cooper (D) 53%
 
Michael Whatley (R) 42%
 
AARP poll · likely voters

Republicans’ Senate Map Keeps Getting Worse

September 28, 2026 · 5:37 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The path for Republicans to keep their Senate majority is getting smaller by the day — a once-unthinkable prospect for the party,” the Washington Sun reports.

“Republican members for months have acknowledged that rising gas prices and other costs, largely stemming from the Iran war, are a massive problem, especially for their electoral prospects. That talk finally hit reality in recent days as the bottom fell out of polls in a number of states.”

Washington Post: The Senate map is looking even better for Democrats. Here are races to watch.

Republicans Pour Cash Into Races Previously Seen as ‘Safe’

September 28, 2026 · 5:35 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republicans are pouring money into ⁠more than three dozen U.S. House races previously considered ‘safe’ after internal polling showed they could be vulnerable in the November 3 election, according to three Republican operatives familiar with the party’s thinking,” Reuters reports.

“The shift is already starting to show in advertising reservations and campaign finance filings. Since September 1, major Republican groups and megadonors have begun spending in at least 39 congressional races where they haven’t previously deployed money this cycle, a Reuters review of spending by some of the largest Republican political groups shows.”

Bloomberg: Midterm fight expands into Republican strongholds.

Kennedy Proposes Ban On Buildings Named for Living

September 28, 2026 · 5:33 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA) said on Sunday that living public officials should not have buildings named after them and proposed a rule to prohibit such renaming efforts,” Fox News reports.

Republicans Fuming at Hegseth as War Costs Build

September 28, 2026 · 5:30 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth is running into a wall of congressional GOP resistance as he tries to secure $1.5 trillion for the Pentagon next year,” Semafor reports.

“Lawmakers’ growing reluctance to fulfill Hegseth’s eye-popping budget request reflects real intraparty concerns about his leadership, his relationship with Congress, and the ongoing war with Iran. It also punctuates months of drama at the Pentagon over the ouster and resignation of various top officials, in addition to reports of blocked military promotions.”

“Hegseth’s fraying ties on the Hill put him on course for a bigger headache after the election.”

Senate Republicans Make a Final Legislative Push

September 28, 2026 · 5:28 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Barely five weeks before November’s midterm elections, Senate Republicans are rushing to pass more legislation that they can run on as polling shows Democrats within striking distance of retaking the chamber,” the Washington Post reports.

”The Senate is expected to vote on legislation this week meant to protect consumers from high electricity costs caused in part by the data center building boom. And some Republicans are pushing to take up other bills to address voters’ frustrations with the cost of living.”

Food Safety Becomes an Election Issue

September 28, 2026 · 5:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

CBS News: “The summer was marred by a massive foodborne outbreak that sickened scores of people and and the recall of tens of thousands of pounds of imported meat, turning the safety of the U.S. food supply into a topic of national conversation and a political cause.”

“Late-night talk show hosts joked about symptoms that included explosive diarrhea. As a precaution, chain restaurants such as Chipotle and Taco Bell yanked lettuce, jalapeños, and other suspected products from menus. Some food safety scientists blamed the outbreaks on federal cuts to public health.”

“These dynamics collectively have raised questions about whether it’s safe to order a salad or burger.”

Texas GOP Candidate Called for Public Executions

September 28, 2026 · 5:26 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Bo French, the Republican nominee for one of Texas’ most powerful statewide offices, is facing bipartisan criticism over a racist post about the crowd at a University of Texas football game,” CNN reports.

“Now, a CNN KFile investigation has uncovered since-removed posts from the past six years in which French repeatedly advocated having public executions for political opponents, including former President Barack Obama.”

Who’s Winning the Race for Congress?

September 28, 2026 · 5:24 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Five weeks out from the midterms, Republicans are panicking over prices — and apparently over the president, too,” the New York Times reports.

“In Iowa, Michigan and Ohio, the party’s Senate candidates have urged President Trump to bring an end to the Iran war. In Kansas, an incumbent senator in an unexpectedly tough re-election fight has admonished the administration over immigration raids. Just about every Republican wishes Mr. Trump would just focus on the economy.”

“Instead, he spent last week threatening to escalate the war — a move that could further drive up the prices of gas and diesel fuel.”

Democrats Put Money Into Mississippi’s Senate Race

September 27, 2026 · 11:10 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “It has been almost 40 years since Mississippi sent a Democrat to the Senate, and hardly anyone expects that to change this year. But in a sign of just how bullish some Democrats are feeling, some party officials and donors are starting to size up the potential of once-unthinkable seats in the Deep South. Inspired by success in places like Georgia, they see Colom’s long-shot bid as a down payment for future victory in a state with a large Black population.”

“Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer has told donors at fundraisers and dinners in recent months to consider putting money into Mississippi.”

Putin Is Testing NATO On Norway’s Remote Arctic Islands

September 27, 2026 · 11:09 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“For the best part of a century, the biggest threat to the residents of Svalbard was polar bears. Increasingly, it now comes from Russia,” Politico reports.

”Fears are growing that Moscow could use the sprawling Arctic archipelago — a part of Norway with an unusual legal status — to test NATO militarily amid growing uncertainty over the U.S. commitment to European defense.”

Moves That Backfired On Trump and Spiked Interest Rates

September 27, 2026 · 11:06 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“In the early days of President Trump’s second term, his economic advisers laid out a simple theory: Show the bond market that Washington was serious about closing its gaping deficits, and long-term interest rates would fall on their own. Trump could leave the Federal Reserve alone,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“It hasn’t worked out that way.”

“Inflation is rising, the Fed is raising rates and the 10-year Treasury yield is well above where it stood on Inauguration Day, when the new team blamed high rates on runaway Biden-era spending. Last week, that yield reached the highest level since 2007 as investors weighed a resilient economy, prolonged energy disruptions that threaten to aggravate price pressures and a central bank losing patience waiting for them to fade.”

Defense Firms Are Rushing to Boost Missile Output

September 27, 2026 · 11:04 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Defense contractors are spending billions to build factories and increase production to stock America’s nearly bare cupboard of highly engineered missiles,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“But those efforts haven’t translated into real gains yet, leaving the U.S. and allies with depleted stocks of important weapons while it fights Iran. Most of the new missiles will arrive too late for any conflict in the next couple of years.”

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

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Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

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