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Diplomats Gird for Trump Assault on Climate Action

September 30, 2024 at 11:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Climate negotiators from Europe, Latin America and some island nations are bracing for the potential return to the world stage of Donald Trump, who withdrew the United States from the fight against global warming during his first term,” the New York Times reports.

“Nations will press forward without the United States if they must, according to climate negotiators who gathered in New York last week during the United Nations General Assembly. But the first Trump presidency was a setback in the climate fight, and a repeat would slow things down at a critical point when scientists say efforts need to speed up.”

Don’t Assume Trump Will Outperform the Polls

September 30, 2024 at 9:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Pollsters caution against assuming that the polls this cycle are susceptible to the same errors as previous ones that underestimated support for former President Trump, arguing that every election is different and that this year’s polls are an accurate reflection of the competitiveness of the race,” The Hill reports.

Trump’s Autocratic Impulses Were on Display All Weekend

September 30, 2024 at 9:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump ramped up his rhetoric over the weekend in ways that even made many Republicans uncomfortable.

Here’s a recap:

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Jimmy Carter at 100

September 30, 2024 at 8:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Already the longest-lived of the 45 men to serve as U.S. president, Jimmy Carter is about to reach the century mark,” the AP reports.

“The 39th president, who remains under home hospice care, will turn 100 on Tuesday, Oct. 1, celebrating in the same south Georgia town where he was born in 1924.”

Exactly How Trump Could Prosecute His Political Enemies

September 30, 2024 at 8:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “A lot has also changed since Trump was last in power — both for Trump and the presidency itself — that make it more likely that he will pursue his enemies and easier for him to direct the Justice Department to do so.”

“Trump has been through the legal wringer in the last year-and-a-half and will want payback. He’s a convicted criminal and still faces trials that could send him to prison, and he’s not likely to forget all about that even if his legal troubles essentially disappear once he reaches the White House. He could easily wreak havoc with many of his political opponents’ lives simply by subjecting them to long, costly and highly disruptive criminal investigations and prosecutions.”

“Even if the effort failed to produce any real convictions, the process itself would be a form of punishment for the targets. It could also seriously erode public faith in the federal criminal justice system while chilling political opposition to Trump.”

Netflix Cancellations Surge After Donation to Harris

September 30, 2024 at 8:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump supporters appear to have quit Netflix en masse after one of the online streaming giant’s co-founders publicly threw his backing behind Kamala Harris,” the Daily Beast reports.

“Reed Hastings, chairman of Netflix and a longtime Democratic supporter, announced his endorsement on July 22, later telling The Information he’d also donated some $7 million to the Harris campaign.”

Bloomberg: Netflix cancellations spiked after Reed Hastings donated to Kamala Harris.

‘The Power Broker’ at 50

September 30, 2024 at 8:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

NPR: “This month marks the 50th anniversary of Caro’s first book, The Power Broker. It told the story of how urban planner Robert Moses reshaped New York City and state through the roads and bridges he built — and the lives and communities he destroyed.”

“And it began to tell the story how political power really works, and how it’s welded in this country. It’s a story that, 50 years later, has Caro still hard at work, still time traveling through his research, writing and conversation.”

The Power Broker: Robert Moses and the Fall of New York
The Power Broker: Robert Moses and the Fall of New York
  • Amazon Kindle Edition
  • Caro, Robert A. (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 1298 Pages - 09/16/2024 (Publication Date) - Vintage (Publisher)
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How Vance and Walz Will Try to Win the Debate

September 30, 2024 at 7:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Vance might have the heavier lift during their only planned face-off. That is partly because former President Donald Trump was widely viewed as losing his Sept. 10 debate against Vice President Kamala Harris in what for now was their only scheduled meeting.”

“The senator also faces a greater challenge because several polls have shown him with the lowest favorability rating of the four candidates on the two presidential tickets.”

“If Vance can significantly trip up Walz, that would be helpful for the GOP in trying to change a narrative that in recent weeks has shown Harris with a slight polling lead—often within the margin of error—over Trump.”

Washington Post: Vance and Walz face contrasting pressures in much-anticipated debate.

CNN: What Walz’s and Vance’s past debates may reveal about Tuesday’s high-stakes matchup.

More Reliant Than Ever on Government Aid

September 30, 2024 at 7:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Americans’ reliance on government support is soaring, driven by programs such as Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“That support is especially critical in economically stressed communities throughout the U.S., many of which lean Republican and are concentrated in swing states crucial in deciding the presidential election. Neither party has much incentive to dial back the spending.”

GOP Deploys Cash to Crack Democrats’ Blue Wall in Senate

September 30, 2024 at 7:46 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A group aligned with Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is planning to pour tens of millions of dollars into an effort to crack Democrats’ ‘blue wall’ with less than six weeks left to go before Election Day,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“In working to flip seats currently held by Democrats, the Senate Leadership Fund plans to spend $67.5 million on TV, radio and digital ad reservations in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.”

“The super PAC, run by close McConnell allies, will add $28 million in outside spending to Republicans’ effort to unseat Sen. Bob Casey in Pennsylvania, $17 million in Wisconsin to target Sen. Tammy Baldwin, and $22.5 million in Michigan, where the parties are fighting over an open seat currently held by Democrats.”

What If the Polls Are Wrong?

September 30, 2024 at 7:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Nate Cohn: “While a relatively quiet political environment makes us more confident in the state of the race, there are still no guarantees.”

“If the polls are off as they were two or four years ago, the outcome might be very different than the polls suggest today. Either candidate could win decisively.”

“With this much uncertainty, the polls don’t suggest that either candidate is a clear favorite. At this point, there’s a good chance they never will.”

The Only Patriotic Choice for President

September 30, 2024 at 6:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

From the New York Times editorial board:

“This unequivocal, dispiriting truth — Donald Trump is not fit to be president — should be enough for any voter who cares about the health of our country and the stability of our democracy to deny him re-election.”

Climate World Still Has No Solution to Trump 2.0

September 30, 2024 at 6:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Trump’s return would present an even greater threat than it did last time, given the fact that the world has even fewer years to course-correct before the planet’s warming reaches tipping points that would erode quality of life for billions of people.”

Harris Tries to Goad Trump Into Another Debate

September 30, 2024 at 1:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kamala Harris on Sunday tried to taunt Donald Trump into participating in another debate as she rallied supporters in Nevada, the New York Times reports.

Said Harris: “I’m trying to debate Donald Trump again, and I think he should debate again. The American people have a right to hear us discuss the issues. And as you say here in Las Vegas, I’m all in. I’m all in. Even if my opponent is ready to fold.”

Trump Calls for One Really Violent Day of Policing

September 29, 2024 at 11:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump on Sunday called for “one real rough, nasty” and “violent day” of police retaliation in order to eradicate crime “immediately,” Politico reports.

Said Trump: “One rough hour — and I mean real rough — the word will get out and it will end immediately, you know? It will end immediately.”

Harris Raised $55 Million in California Fundraisers

September 29, 2024 at 11:03 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kamala Harris raised about $55 million in high-dollar events in California this weekend, a haul that pads her financial advantage over Donald Trump, Bloomberg reports.

Elissa Slotkin Warns Harris Is Trailing in Michigan

September 29, 2024 at 7:19 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Rep. Elissa Slotkin (D-MI.) warned donors last week that internal polling for her Senate campaign shows Vice President Kamala Harris is ‘underwater’ in Michigan,” Axios reports.

However: “FiveThirtyEight’s average of polls has Harris up by about 2.4 points in Michigan.”

Trump Preps Catalog of ‘Cheating’ Claims

September 29, 2024 at 5:18 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Through public remarks, Truth Social screeds and more than 100 preemptive lawsuits, Donald Trump is assembling a detailed catalog of excuses for rejecting the results of the 2024 election — if he loses,” Axios reports.

“The Trump-aligned efforts to overturn the 2020 election — both overtly and covertly, peacefully then violently — shocked the American public. No one should be surprised this time around.”

“The former president, who risks jail time and more criminal trials if he loses, has expanded his range of baseless attacks on U.S. voting procedures in recent weeks and months.”

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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