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New Poll Shows Harris Narrowly Ahead

September 24, 2024 at 12:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new CNN poll finds Kamala Harris just ahead of Donald Trump nationally among likely voters in a multi-candidate race, 48% to 47%.

A scant 2% of likely voters say they haven’t yet chosen a candidate to support, and another 12% have chosen one but say they could change their minds.

How Meta Distanced Itself From Politics

September 24, 2024 at 12:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “On Facebook, Instagram and Threads, political content is less heavily featured. App settings have been automatically set to de-emphasize the posts that users see about campaigns and candidates.”

“And political misinformation is harder to find on the platforms after Meta removed transparency tools that journalists and researchers used to monitor the sites.”

Exchange of the Day

September 24, 2024 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Donald Trump ramped up his anti-immigrant rhetoric against the Haitian immigrants who are legally living in Springfield, Ohio:

TRUMP: Do you think Springfield will ever be the same? You have to get them the hell out. You have to get them out.

CROWD: Send them back! Send them back! Send them back!


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House Moves to Hold Blinken in Contempt

September 24, 2024 at 10:56 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“House Republicans moved Tuesday to hold Secretary of State Antony Blinken in contempt of Congress over claims he obstructed their investigation into the chaotic U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021,” Politico reports.

Sheriff Stripped of Election Role

September 24, 2024 at 10:54 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“An Ohio sheriff has been stripped of his role providing security at his county’s early voting location, members of a local elections board said, after he compared immigrants to insects and urged residents to record the addresses of people who have yard signs supporting Vice President Kamala Harris,” the New York Times reports.

Harris Backs Ending Filibuster to Codify Abortion Rights

September 24, 2024 at 10:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Kamala Harris told Wisconsin Public Radio that she supports ending the filibuster to restore Roe v. Wade to protect abortion rights nationally.

Said Harris: “I think we should eliminate the filibuster for Roe. And get us to the point where 51 votes would be what we need to actually put back in law the protections for reproductive freedom and for the ability of every person and every woman to make decisions about their own body and not have their government tell them what to do.”

Mike Johnson Says Trump Doesn’t Want a Shutdown

September 24, 2024 at 10:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaker Mike Johnson (R-LA) privately told a group of members that Donald Trump agrees it was a select few Republican lawmakers — not Johnson — who ruined the GOP’s chances of getting the SAVE Act attached to a continuing resolution, NOTUS reports.

And Johnson said Trump agrees that Republicans would take the blame for a shutdown.

Quote of the Day

September 24, 2024 at 10:26 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“You will no longer be thinking about abortion.”

— Donald Trump, quoted by the New York Times, arguing that he will be a “protector” of women if he’s elected.

Harris Holds Massive Lead Among Young Voters

September 24, 2024 at 10:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Harvard Institute of Politics poll of 18-to-29-year-olds nationwide finds Kamala Harris with a commanding lead over Donald Trump, 64% to 32%.

Other findings:

  • A significant enthusiasm gap between young Democrats and Republicans, with 74% of young Democrats saying they will “definitely” vote, compared to 60% of young Republicans.
  • A widening gender gap, nearly doubling from 17 points in the Spring poll to 30 points now, with Harris leading 70% to 23% among likely female voters.

Democrats Will Run Up the Score in Early Voting

September 24, 2024 at 9:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Half of registered voters plan to vote early this fall, with Democrats significantly more likely to take this option.

Meanwhile, Republicans are getting mixed messages from Donald Trump on early voting. Yesterday, he called it “stupid.”

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Harris Maintains Solid National Lead

September 24, 2024 at 9:21 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Morning Consult poll finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally among likely voters, 50% to 45%.

Harris Edges Trump in North Carolina

September 24, 2024 at 9:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Elon University poll in North Carolina finds Kamala Harris just ahead of Donald Trump among registered voters, 46% to 45%.

In the race for governor, Josh Stein (D) leads Mark Robinson (R), 49% to 35%.

Harris Leads in Michigan

September 24, 2024 at 9:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new USA Today/Suffolk poll in Michigan finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by three points among likely voters in a multi-candidate race, 48% to 45%.

Said pollster David Paleologos: “If the Kamala Harris margin shrinks to a 1-point lead, the entire state hinges on the fringes of the Michigan ballot. The behavior of third-party voters ‒ people who are mocked for wasting their votes ‒ could make the difference if they rotate to either Harris or Trump.”

In the U.S. Senate race, Elissa Slotkin (D) leads Mike Rogers (R), 45% to 43%.

Harris Barely Ahead in Nevada

September 24, 2024 at 9:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Noble Predictive Insights poll in Nevada shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump among likely voters, 48% to 47%.

Trump Dangles Even More Tax Breaks

September 24, 2024 at 9:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Donald Trump’s ever-growing litany of tax proposals includes something for almost every American family: tipped workers, hourly employees, senior citizens — and now even the higher-income residents of Democratic-led states whose tax breaks he took away while president,” Bloomberg reports.

“And he’s not done yet: Trump will make a speech on Tuesday in Georgia to outline his vision to use tax breaks and other incentives to bolster US manufacturing.”

“The former president has thrown out such a wide range of tax proposals that even his own advisers are unsure about which ones he intends to enact if elected. Some of the pronouncements have come as surprises and caused angst among allies.”

Trump’s Unfocused Pitch in Pennsylvania

September 24, 2024 at 8:59 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “In just over 90 minutes here Monday night, the Republican presidential nominee swerved repeatedly in remarks he used to try to shore up his political weaknesses, lash out his detractors and delve into digressions.”

“Trump’s rally here in a key battleground state offered a glimpse of the often unfocused pitch he is making to voters with about six weeks left until Election Day — one that his most loyal fans revel in but is a less proven winner with swing voters.”

The Never Trumpers Who Stay Silent

September 24, 2024 at 8:53 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Guardian: “Big-name signatories included Chuck Hagel, a former senator and defense secretary; Gen Michael Hayden, a former CIA and NSA chief; and John Negroponte, once ambassador to the UN. Robert Zoellick, a longtime aide to both presidents Bush and a deputy to James Baker, secretary of state to the elder Bush, was on the list too.”

“Missing from the list, however, were Baker, the younger Bush and his own secretary of state, Condoleezza Rice. As perhaps the three most senior Republicans who have not come out against Trump in this election cycle, Bush, Rice and Baker’s lack of comment excites growing comment itself.”

Harris Won’t Say If She Backs Decriminalizing Prostitution

September 24, 2024 at 8:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Vice President Harris’ campaign is declining to say whether she still supports decriminalizing sex work — a position she took while running for president in 2019,” Axios reports.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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