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GOP Has Upper Hand In Florida Senate Race

July 1, 2016 at 6:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico: “Now, Republicans smell blood in the water, and they’re looking to damage Murphy so badly that Democrats are forced to spend heavily on his behalf ahead of the state’s Aug. 30 primary — or abandon the race altogether. The GOP is adopting a strategy that’s been used against it repeatedly in recent election cycles: Propping up a politically toxic, outside-the-mainstream candidate in the other party’s primary, in this case firebrand liberal Rep. Alan Grayson.”

“The reversal of fortunes in Florida could hardly have come at a better time for Republicans, after weeks of negative headlines about their presumptive presidential nominee, Donald Trump, and increasing concerns about a down-ballot disaster for the party.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Scott Won’t Endorse Rubio’s Senate Bid

June 23, 2016 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 10 Comments

Florida Gov. Rick Scott (R) “won’t endorse Sen. Marco Rubio’s newly announced reelection bid, painting the incumbent’s Republican opponent as a good friend, businessman and an outsider,” Politico reports.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Marco Rubio, Rick Scott

Rubio Decides Senate Is Better Path to White House

June 23, 2016 at 7:19 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

Harry Enten: “Marco Rubio’s decision to run for re-election to his U.S. Senate seat, which he announced Wednesday morning, gives Republicans a boost in their bid to retain control of the Senate. But it also sheds light on how Rubio views his political future and how Republican Senate candidates in swing states might act toward Donald Trump.”

Washington Post: Inside the Republican courtship of Marco Rubio

Interestingly, Smart Politics notes that since 1972, “all seven sitting U.S. Senators who ran for reelection in the cycle of their failed presidential bid won another term – each by double digits.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Rubio Won’t Campaign With Trump

June 22, 2016 at 6:21 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 25 Comments

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) will not campaign with Donald Trump in the battleground state of Florida, Politico reports.

Said Rubio: “It’s not that I’m looking to undermine him, but I think the differences between us on key issues are so significant that I just don’t plan to campaign — I’ve got to run my own race.”

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Rubio Not Favored In Florida’s Senate Race

June 22, 2016 at 12:13 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

At the urging of Senate Republicans — and even Donald Trump — Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) abruptly reversed course  just two days before the filing deadline and announced he would run for re-election.

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Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Members Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Rubio Will Seek Re-Election

June 22, 2016 at 9:55 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 69 Comments

“In a major reversal highlighting Republican fear over losing the Senate majority and his own ambition, Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) will break a longstanding promise not to seek re-election, becoming an instant favorite but facing the challenge of running in a presidential year featuring Donald Trump,” the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Miami Herald: “National Republicans fearful of losing Senate control to Democrats mounted a campaign to keep Rubio on the ballot for Florida’s swing seat. He consented just two days before Friday’s state candidate-qualifying deadline.”

New York Times: “The senator has told colleagues and advisers that he would like to run for president again, either in 2020 or 2024. But he increasingly came to believe that doing so from the private sector would be difficult.”

For members: Rubio Not Favored In Florida’s Senate Race

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Jolly Drops Senate Bid In Florida

June 17, 2016 at 11:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 18 Comments

Rep. David Jolly (R-FL) is dropping out of the U.S. Senate race and running for re-election instead, the Tampa Bay Times reports.

Jolly said on CNN that Sen, Marco Rubio is “saying he is getting in,” but later walked back that statement.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: David Jolly, Marco Rubio

Democrats Are Ready for Rubio

June 17, 2016 at 7:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

Washington Post: “An online ad released Friday by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee previews the sort of campaign Rubio can expect to endure should he decide to reverse the decision, made when he entered the presidential race last year, to forego re-election to run for president.”

“The ad highlights the scores of votes and committee hearings Rubio missed while pursuing the presidency, the repeated pledges he made during that campaign not to return to the Senate and his vote in December against a Democratic proposal to bar suspected terrorists from purchasing guns.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Florida Insiders Give Rubio the Advantage If He Runs

June 16, 2016 at 7:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 46 Comments

Tampa Bay Times: “We asked more than 150 experienced Florida politicos to asess Rubio’s reelection prospects, and a remarkable 96 percent in the Florida Insider Poll predicted Rubio would win if the Democratic U.S. Senate nominee is Alan Grayson. But if Democrats nominate Patrick Murphy, only 55 percent think Rubio will win a second term.”

James Hohmann: Marco Rubio flip flops on hating the U.S. Senate.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Marco Rubio

Rubio Will Reconsider Re-Election Bid

June 15, 2016 at 4:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 41 Comments

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL), “who had pledged for months not to seek re-election to the Senate while he waged an ill-fated campaign for the Republican presidential nomination, said Wednesday that he is rethinking that decision and could enter the race as soon as next week,” the Washington Post reports.

“Rubio said his decision followed a Sunday conversation with his friend Florida Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera (R), who is running to succeed him in the Senate, on the sidelines of the scene of the terror attack in Orlando.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Carlos Lopez-Cantera, FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Bonus Quote of the Day

June 15, 2016 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 14 Comments

“Marco has my support if he gets in. But I will say it’s not unanimous among Republicans at home… His decision to skip votes during the presidential race nationally I don’t think had a big implication, but at home it certainly did.”

— Rep. David Jolly (R-FL), quoted by the National Journal, on his campaign to replace Marco Rubio in the Senate.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: David Jolly, Marco Rubio

Attacks Have Rubio Reconsidering Decision to Quit

June 13, 2016 at 11:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 67 Comments

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) told Hugh Hewitt that the mass shooting this weekend in Florida gave him pause about leaving public service.

Said Rubio: “I’ve been deeply impacted by it. When it visits your home state and it impacts a community you know well, it really gives you pause to think about your service to your country and where you can be most useful to your country.”

The deadline for filing to run for U.S. Senate in Florida is June 24.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Marco Rubio

Rubio Is Very Unpopular In Florida

June 7, 2016 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 40 Comments

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida finds that Sen. Marco Rubio remains quite unpopular in the state in the wake of his failed Presidential bid, and that voters aren’t interested in seeing him run for the Senate this year.

Key finding: “Only 32% of voters in the state approve of the job Rubio is doing as Senator, to 54% who disapprove. Those numbers make him one of the least popular Senators in the country.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Rubio Now Says He Won’t Speak In Support of Trump

June 7, 2016 at 1:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 34 Comments

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) told Roll Call that if he speaks at the Republican National Convention this July, he will not be on stage as a Donald Trump surrogate.

Rubio said that his vision is “substantially different from what Donald is offering, and that’s why I’m not sure I’m going to be asked to speak at the convention.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Marco Rubio

Rubio Says Trump Comments Don’t Reflect Well on GOP

June 6, 2016 at 3:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 326 Comments

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) criticized Donald Trump for making comments about an American judge’s ethnicity, WFTV reports.

Said Rubio: “I don’t think it reflects well in the Republican Party. I don’t think it reflects wells on us as a nation.”

He added: “I ran for president, and I warned this was going to happen.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Donald Trump, Marco Rubio

Why Rubio May Run for Senate Again

May 31, 2016 at 12:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 60 Comments

Josh Kraushaar: “A use­ful rule of thumb: Politi­cians usu­ally act in their own self-in­terest. And that’s why Sen. Marco Ru­bio of Flor­ida is open­ing the door to run­ning again for his Sen­ate seat.”

“If Ru­bio wants to run for pres­id­ent in 2020, it would be very dif­fi­cult for him to do so without hold­ing any prom­in­ent statewide elec­ted of­fice. Hav­ing only one term on the Sen­ate un­der his belt and four years out­side of of­fice is an aw­fully thin start­ing point to mount a second pres­id­en­tial bid. There will be oth­er newly-elec­ted gov­ernors and sen­at­ors who will emerge on the na­tion­al radar. And with the Flor­ida gov­ernor race un­likely to be an op­tion—Ag­ri­cul­ture Com­mis­sion­er Adam Put­nam is pop­u­lar and the odds-on GOP fa­vor­ite—the only op­tion for him to re­main polit­ic­ally rel­ev­ant is to pur­sue a second Sen­ate term.”

Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, quoted by the Washington Times: “We’re all lobbying hard for him to run again. He’s been back in the Senate for six weeks. He’s, I believe, enjoying it, and being effective.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: FL-Sen, Marco Rubio

Are Rubio and Ryan Making a Big Mistake?

May 31, 2016 at 10:30 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 40 Comments

Michael Gerson: “For those of us with a certain political bent and background, this is the most depressing moment of all. The best of the GOP — Marco Rubio and Paul Ryan, the intellectually serious reformicons who have called attention to issues of poverty and the need for Republican outreach — are bending their knee to the worst nominee in their party’s history. Ryan drags himself slowly. Rubio eventually went with a quick Band-Aid pull. But the largest political choice each man has made this year will be one of the worst mistakes of their careers.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan

Pressure Grows for Rubio to Run for Re-Election

May 29, 2016 at 11:23 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 43 Comments

Tampa Bay Times: “We’re not ready to predict Rubio runs, but recent maneuvering by the Miami Republican and those hoping he runs feels increasingly choreographed:

  • Several news articles encouraged by Rubio’s office suggesting he is really working hard in the Senate and enjoying the job after his unsuccessful run for president.
  • Rubio repeatedly telling reporters lately that he never, ever meant to imply as a presidential candidate skipping Senate votes and meetings that he did not enjoy the job or view it as important.
  • Rubio no longer sounding so adamant that he will definitely move to the private sector in January.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign Tagged With: Marco Rubio

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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