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Senate Report Concludes Russia Sought to Help Trump

October 8, 2019 · 1:42 pm ET · Leave a Comment

The Senate Intelligence Committee released its bipartisan report on Russia’s use of social media to interfere in the 2016 presidential election and concludes the Kremlin sought to help Donald Trump’s presidential campaign by spreading disinformation.

From the report: “The Committee found, that the IRA sought to influence the 2016 U.S. presidential election by harming Hillary Clinton’s chances of success and supporting Donald Trump at the direction of the Kremlin.”

The report also called on the Executive Branch to “reinforce with the public the danger of attempted foreign interference in the 2020 election.”

2016 Campaign

Barr Chases Conspiracy Theories

October 7, 2019 · 9:27 am ET · Leave a Comment

Attorney General Bill Barr has taken an intense interest in a mysterious European professor whose conversation with an adviser to Trump’s 2016 campaign helped launch the FBI’s Russia investigation and who has since become the focal point of an unproven conservative theory, the Washington Post reports.

“Those involved in the FBI investigation said they are mystified by the attorney general’s activities and interest in the professor, Joseph Mifsud, and they suspect that Barr might be using Justice Department resources to validate conjecture that Mifsud was deployed against a Trump adviser by Western intelligence to manufacture a basis to investigate the campaign.”

Said on person involved in the Russia probe: “It just seems like they’re doing everything they can to delegitimize the origins of that investigation.”

2016 Campaign, White House

Trump Says Democrats Are Interfering with Election

October 5, 2019 · 7:05 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump accused Democrats of “interfering” with the 2020 presidential election and the “continuing to interfere” with the 2016 election.

2016 Campaign, 2020 Campaign

Flashback Quote of the Day

October 4, 2019 · 10:49 am ET · Leave a Comment

“This is basic stuff. Foreign donors — and certainly foreign governments — cannot participate in the American political process.”

— Mike Pence, in the 2016 vice presidential debate.

2016 Campaign

NRA’s Ties to Russians Detailed in New Report

September 27, 2019 · 10:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“National Rifle Association funds paid for lodging and travel of Russian nationals throughout 2015 and 2016, as part of a relationship that allowed foreign actors looking to influence the U.S. election, including now-convicted Maria Butina, to infiltrate the gun-rights group, a new report asserts,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The report, released Friday by Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee, also says NRA leaders traveled to Moscow in December 2015 partly on the NRA’s dime, even though some went there to pursue their own personal business opportunities. This raises questions, the report says, about whether they violated laws on how nonprofit funds can be used.”

“The trip to Moscow gave Russians an opening to the organization as the election was ramping up, as well as access to other events involving Republican party leaders.”

2016 Campaign, Gun Control

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

September 26, 2019 · 4:00 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“It was like applying for a job and getting 66 million letters of recommendation and losing to a corrupt human tornado.”

— Hillary Clinton, in an interview with CBS News, about the 2016 presidential election.

2016 Campaign

Trump Clings to CrowdStrike Conspiracy Theory

September 26, 2019 · 8:17 am ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “President Trump’s apparent embrace of bizarre conspiracy theories involving the cybersecurity company CrowdStrike in his phone call with Ukraine’s president is a striking illustration of his doubts about the U.S. intelligence agencies’ unanimous conclusion that Russia hacked Democratic servers in the 2016 presidential election.”

“While it is Trump’s efforts on that call to enlist a foreign government to dig up dirt on his political rival Joe Biden that have Democratic lawmakers launching impeachment proceedings, the fact that Trump is still suggesting there’s some sort of frame job in election interference has officials and cybersecurity experts just as irate.”

2016 Campaign, White House

Quote of the Day

September 10, 2019 · 1:09 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“His campaign manager is a felon. His deputy campaign manager is a felon. His personal lawyer is a felon. His foreign policy advisor is a felon. His national security advisor is a felon. The Trump campaign was run by criminals.”

— GOP strategist Stuart Stevens, on Twitter.

2016 Campaign

Quote of the Day

September 5, 2019 · 6:41 am ET · Leave a Comment

“I need killers, I want somebody to fight. Chris Christie calls me nonstop about this job. He calls me every ten seconds; he’d do anything for this job. He is dying to be vice president. And you, it’s like you don’t care. I need killers! Do you want this thing or not?’”

— Donald Trump, quoted in Piety & Power, offering Mike Pence the chance to be his running mate in 2016.

Piety & Power
Mike Pence and the Taking of the White House
by Tom LoBianco · Dey Street Books · 2019
Buy on Amazon
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More on this book from Political Wire →

2016 Campaign

Trump’s Best Path Is the One He Took In 2016

September 3, 2019 · 10:42 pm ET · Leave a Comment

William Galston: “In the Blue Wall triad—Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin—Mr. Trump’s job approval has been consistently lower than in Florida, Georgia and Texas, where it stands at or above 50%, as it also does in Ohio. Three other states—North Carolina, Iowa and Arizona—occupy an intermediate zone in which Mr. Trump’s popularity is higher than in the Blue Wall but lower than in the South.”

“In other words, if the president can hold his Democratic challenger’s popular-vote advantage at or near the 2 percentage points of 2016, he may well prevail again in the Electoral College. At the other end of the spectrum, if the Democrat were to approach Barack Obama’s 7-point margin in 2008, victory over Mr. Trump would be assured. Even if there is a huge mobilization of Democrats in solidly blue states, a 4-point popular-vote advantage would probably include enough voters in swing states to create a blue Electoral College majority. It’s impossible to determine exactly where the tipping point lies between 2 and 4 percentage points.”

The Electoral Vote Map lets you test various paths to victory.

2016 Campaign

Russians Targeted Maryland In 2016

August 28, 2019 · 6:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The IRA, the Russian troll factory U.S. prosecutors blame for the massive disinformation campaign during the 2016 campaign, devoted enormous attention and preparation to its Maryland campaign, all in a likely effort, experts say, to widen racial divisions and demoralize African American voters.”

2016 Campaign

Flashback Quote of the Day

August 21, 2019 · 10:17 am ET · Leave a Comment

“I mean, we’re liable to wake up one morning and Donald, if he were president, would have nuked Denmark.”

— Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX) during the 2016 presidential campaign, quoted by New York magazine.

2016 Campaign, Foreign Affairs

Clinton Slams Trump Over Debunked Study

August 19, 2019 · 4:16 pm ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump claimed on Twitter that Google “manipulated” votes in the 2016 election that would have given him an even greater lead over his opponent and that the company “should be sued,” CNBC reports.

“Trump’s tweet appears to refer to documents leaked to conservative group Project Veritas, but the documents do not appear to contain any outright allegation of vote manipulation or attempts to bias the election.”

Hillary Clinton fired back at Trump: “The debunked study you’re referring to was based on 21 undecided voters. For context that’s about half the number of people associated with your campaign who have been indicted.”

2016 Campaign

Mueller Report Downloaded 800 Million Times

August 16, 2019 · 9:53 am ET · Leave a Comment

Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s report on the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election, allegations of Trump campaign collusion, and obstruction of justice by the president has been downloaded nearly 800 million times, Politico reports.

2016 Campaign

Russian Interference Likely Did Not Affect 2016 Result

August 8, 2019 · 6:11 am ET · Leave a Comment

Alan Abramowitz: “I find no evidence that Russian attempts to target voters in key swing states had any effect on the election results in those states. Instead, the results were almost totally predictable based on the political and demographic characteristics of those states, especially their past voting tendencies, ideological leanings, and demographics. Of course, that doesn’t mean that the Russians weren’t trying to influence the results or that they might not succeed in the future. Nor does it speak to Russian efforts to hack into U.S. voting systems and potentially alter voter registration data or even election results themselves.”

“There are plenty of grounds for real concern here. Indeed, the Electoral College system used to choose the president almost invites efforts to interfere in the election. Whereas trying to affect the national popular vote results would probably be prohibitively expensive, efforts to target a few key swing states could be much more cost-effective and harder to detect.”

2016 Campaign

It Was Third Parties That Sunk Clinton

July 29, 2019 · 8:24 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Stuart Rothenberg: “For all the talk about why Donald Trump was elected president while losing the popular vote and how he could win again, one of the least discussed results of the 2016 election offers valuable lessons for Democrats.”

“An astounding 7.8 million voters cast their presidential ballots for someone other than Trump or Hillary Clinton. The two biggest third-party vote-getters were Libertarian nominee Gary Johnson (almost 4.5 million votes) and the Green Party’s Jill Stein (1.5 million voters). But others received almost another 1.9 million votes as well.”

“Libertarians and Greens may try to convince you that this reflects growing support for their parties. It doesn’t. Their strong showing was due to the unpopularity of the two major-party nominees.”

2016 Campaign

Democrats Seek to Avoid Mistakes of Four Years Ago

July 29, 2019 · 6:54 am ET · Leave a Comment

Chicago Tribune: “As 20 presidential contenders descend upon Detroit for the second round of Democratic debates Tuesday and Wednesday, party officials and African American political leaders point to Clinton’s loss to Trump in Michigan as a cautionary tale of what can happen when a Democrat takes black voters for granted.”

“Trump won thanks in large part to the collapse of the so-called blue wall in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. While Clinton faltered among white working-class voters in all three states, she also notably underperformed in the urban centers of Philadelphia, Milwaukee and — most of all — Detroit.”

2016 Campaign, 2020 Campaign

All 50 States Were Targeted by Russia

July 25, 2019 · 6:04 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Senate Intelligence Committee concluded Thursday that election systems in all 50 states were targeted by Russia in 2016, largely undetected by the states and federal officials at the time, but at the demand of American intelligence agencies the committee was forced to redact its findings so heavily that key lessons for the 2020 election are blacked out,” the New York Times reports.

“While details of many of the hackings directed by Russian intelligence, particularly in Illinois and Arizona, are well known, the committee’s report describes a Russian intelligence effort more far-reaching than the federal government has previously acknowledged.”

Washington Post: It’s not just the Russians anymore as Iranians and others turn up disinformation efforts ahead of 2020 vote.

2016 Campaign, Election Administration

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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Word of the Day Political Dictionary

Weaponize

The term “weaponize” refers to the strategic manipulation or transformation of information, institutions, or social issues into tools for gaining political advantage.

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