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McAuliffe Still Leads In Virginia

September 30, 2021 at 8:38 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Fox News poll in Virginia finds Terry McAuliffe (D) leading Glenn Youngkin (R) in the race for governor, 48% to 44%.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign Tagged With: VA-Gov

Glenn Youngkin Tests New Trump Playbook

September 30, 2021 at 8:13 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Associated Press: “Few Republicans in recent years have harnessed the energy of the Trump base with such cool rhetoric. And there is fear within Youngkin’s campaign that Trump or his loyalists could turn against Youngkin in the days before the Nov. 2 election.”

“But if Youngkin is successful, his ability to navigate the delicate politics of the post-Trump presidency could offer the GOP a new playbook before next year’s midterm elections.”

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign Tagged With: VA-Gov

Democrats Worry About Loss In Virginia

September 29, 2021 at 9:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Biden’s slumping approval ratings and gridlock on Capitol Hill have raised the risk that Democrats could lose the Virginia governor’s race, according to party insiders who fear a defeat could spark broader legislative and electoral problems in the coming year,” the Washington Post reports.

“In a sign of the rising anxieties, the party’s nominee in Virginia, former governor Terry McAuliffe, is imploring Democrats in Washington to resolve their disputes and enact a sweeping infrastructure plan that has passed the Senate but faces hurdles in the House.”

Said McAuliffe: “Democrats have got to quit talking, and they’ve got to get something done. You got elected to get things done. We have the House, Senate and White House.”

For members: Is the Virginia Governor’s Race Really a Toss Up?

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

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McAuliffe Keeps Lead In Virginia

September 29, 2021 at 12:48 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Roanoke College poll in Virginia finds Terry McAuliffe (D) maintains a 7-percentage point lead over Glenn Youngkin (R) in the race for governor, 48% to 41% with 9% still undecided.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

Is the Virginia Governor’s Race Really a Toss Up?

September 29, 2021 at 12:22 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

The conventional wisdom is that the Virginia governor’s race is suddenly a Toss Up.

Join now to continue reading.

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Filed Under: 2021 Campaign, Members

Third Party Candidate Interrupts Virginia Debate

September 28, 2021 at 8:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The last Virginia gubernatorial debate between Terry McAuliffe (D) and Glenn Youngkin (R) was interrupted by third-party candidate Princess Blanding, forcing the forum to go to a commercial break.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

White House Sweats Over McAuliffe

September 28, 2021 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Joe Biden can’t afford Terry McAuliffe to lose the governor’s race in Virginia — and the White House knows it,” Politico reports.

“It’s a scenario the president and his aides and close allies increasingly view as a real possibility, given tightening poll numbers in the race and signs of Democratic apathy. The White House, Democratic National Committee and outside partners are closely coordinating their efforts and speaking almost daily… Just over a month before Election Day, they are planning to ramp up activity and engagement — in addition to the $5 million the DNC has already budgeted for Virginia.”

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

Karen Bass to Run for Los Angeles Mayor

September 27, 2021 at 2:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Rep. Karen Bass (D-CA) entered the 2022 race for Los Angeles mayor Monday, shaking up an already crowded field hoping to replace outgoing Mayor Eric Garcetti,” the AP reports.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

McAuliffe Maintains Lead for Virginia Governor

September 27, 2021 at 2:10 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in Virginia finds Terry McAuliffe (D) leading Glenn Youngkin (R) in the governor’s race, 48% to 41% among registered voters.

A range of potential electorate scenarios shows McAuliffe ahead by anywhere from 3 points (48% to 45%) to 7 points (50% to 43%) depending on the likely voter model. Youngkin does better when more low-propensity voters are included in the mix.

Specifically, McAuliffe has a lead among voters who have cast ballots in every general election since 2016 (51% to 44%) and those who participated in 4 of the last 5 general elections (49% to 43%). Among those who voted in only 2 or 3 elections and are considered less reliable voters, the race is much closer (44% for McAuliffe and 42% for Youngkin).

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

Karen Bass to Run for Los Angeles Mayor

September 24, 2021 at 10:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Rep. Karen Bass (D-CA) “is planning to announce that she will run for mayor of Los Angeles in 2022, joining a high-stakes race to run the second-most populous city in the country,” the Washington Post reports.

“Biden has nominated the current mayor of Los Angeles, Eric Garcetti, to serve as ambassador to India. Should Garcetti win confirmation for the job in the Senate, the Los Angeles City Council will have the power to appoint his replacement.”

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

Virginia Governor’s Race Is Now a Toss Up

September 24, 2021 at 8:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Cook Political Report: “We can no longer say this is a contest where the Democrat has the advantage. While many of the fundamentals favor McAuliffe — and we expect he still has a slight edge — it’s Youngkin who seems to have the enthusiasm on his side. That could change before November 2, much as it did in California in the closing weeks of the race.”

“But Youngkin is far more difficult to make into a boogeyman than replacement frontrunner Larry Elder was, whose gaffes and comments were golden gifts for Gov. Gavin Newsom. He’s far more Bob McDonnell than Ken Cuccinelli, but Democrats hope he’ll be more of an Ed Gillespie ultimately — a more establishment-type Republican who was forced into more conservative positions and tied to Trump as his undoing.”

“This is why while we may put a pinkie on the scale for McAuliffe — and it’s far easier for Democrats in a state like Virginia to get the final few points they need than Republicans — the race is nonetheless close enough in our range to shift its rating. For now, Virginia Governor moves from Lean Democrat to Toss Up.”

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign Tagged With: VA-Gov

Phil Murphy Leads By Double-Digits In New Jersey

September 23, 2021 at 12:15 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll in New Jersey finds Gov. Phil Murphy (D) leading challenger Jack Ciattarelli (R) in the race for governor, 51% to 38%.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign Tagged With: NJ-Gov

Florida Democrat Falsely Claims to Be Hispanic

September 23, 2021 at 11:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Speaking before a group of Democratic leaders, Miami Beach city commission candidate Kristen Rosen Gonzalez (D) called herself “the most high-profile Hispanic Democrat in the city of Miami Beach,” the Washington Post reports.

However, Rosen Gonzalez is not Hispanic. The 48-year-old picked up the latter name after she married her ex-husband, Emilio Gonzalez. They divorced in 2009.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

New Poll Shows Youngkin Ahead In Virginia

September 22, 2021 at 6:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new University of Mary Washington poll in Virginia finds Glenn Youngkin (R) leading Terry McAuliffe (D) in the race for governor, 48% to 43%.

This result may be an outlier as the polling average currently shows McAuliffe with a 3.5 point lead.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

McAuliffe Holds Small Lead for Virginia Governor

September 21, 2021 at 12:41 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The FiveThirtyEight polling average shows Terry McAuliffe (D) with a very small lead over Glenn Youngkim (R), 47.2% to 44.1%.

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign Tagged With: VA-Gov

The Cost of California’s Recall Election

September 19, 2021 at 3:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New Yorker: “Days after the winds of the recall have settled, what do we know? For starters, the cost: an estimated two hundred and seventy-six million dollars on the tab of California taxpayers, who landed back where they started, with a mostly unobjectionable Governor (in the run-up to the recall election, Newsom’s approval rating rose from fifty-two per cent to fifty-seven) and, quite possibly, the low-key self-hatred of someone who blew his bonus on an ill-advised, hard-to-remember night.”

“That cost figure doesn’t factor in the time devoted to the recall—not yours, not mine, but certainly the Governor’s and his staff’s—which, in light of political leaders’ already being thought to spend too much of their terms campaigning and fund-raising, is a curious hair-of-the-dog cure for the complaint.”

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

McAuliffe Holds Small Lead In Virginia

September 18, 2021 at 6:41 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Washington Post-Schar School poll in Virginia finds Terry McAuliffe (D) and Glenn Youngkin (R) locked in a tight race for Virginia governor, with McAuliffe just ahead at 50% to 47% among likely voters.

Among registered voters, McAuliffe has a 49% to 43% edge over Youngkin — but neither lead is statistically significant.

“The smaller margin among people likely to vote, combined with a low percentage of voters who say they plan to vote early, suggests that Democrats could face an enthusiasm gap and a challenge boosting turnout to the high levels of the past four years.”

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

Schwarzenegger Relieved That Newsom Beat Recall

September 17, 2021 at 12:05 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Former California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) said he was relieved that Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) kept his job, although he “declined to say how he voted in the special election,” the Los Angeles Times reports.

Said Schwarzenegger: “It’s better to stay with someone who you know what they’re going to do, rather than someone who comes in wacky and is changing everything around.”

Filed Under: 2021 Campaign

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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