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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 193

The Magnificent Seven

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 193: The Magnificent Seven

Cuomo Says Diversity Can Be a ‘Weakness’

November 1, 2025 · 1:01 pm ET · Leave a Comment

Andrew Cuomo said that in New York, “diversity is our strength, but it can also be a weakness,” the New York Times reports.

Said Cuomo: “You have to work very, very hard to make sure you’re always keeping people united, and there’s always flare-ups among different races, religions, creeds for one reason or another.”

2025 Campaign

Missing in Virginia and New Jersey

November 1, 2025 · 12:50 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Democrats running for governor in Virginia and New Jersey have brought in scores of high-profile lawmakers and potential 2028 presidential contenders to campaign for them in the run-up to Tuesday’s elections,” Axios reports.

“But they pointedly haven’t invited progressive leaders Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) or Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY), who are two of the most popular figures among Democrats and attract big crowds across the country.”

2025 Campaign

Trump Pours Money Into New Jersey and Virginia

November 1, 2025 · 10:18 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s political operation is digging into its massive war chest to bankroll a multimillion-dollar voter turnout effort in the final days of the New Jersey and Virginia governor races,” Axios reports.

“Each state is getting a $1 million-plus microtargeting effort aimed at Trump supporters and other Republicans who usually skip off-year races.”

2025 Campaign

Sliwa Has No Interest In Talking to Cuomo

November 1, 2025 · 10:17 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Andrew Cuomo has repeatedly said that it would be difficult for him to win with Curtis Sliwa in the race. Sliwa, the Republican candidate, said in an interview that he was not going anywhere and was not interested in meeting with Cuomo or talking to him,” the New York Times reports.

Said Sliwa: “I would impale myself before I’d meet with him. If I saw him on the corner, I’d walk the other way. If he called me, I’d hang up.”

2025 Campaign

Democrats Seek Winning Message for Midterms

November 1, 2025 · 10:15 am ET · Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “November 4 effectively marks the unofficial kick-off to the 2026 election season. That’s when three states and the biggest city in the US will go to the polls for the first major ballots since Trump was elected.”

“Together, they’ll form an early referendum on the president’s second-term, and a test of what campaign messages are moving voters in Trump’s second term when he isn’t on the ballot. Midterm elections historically tend to favor the party out of power, and polls entering the final weekend showed Democrats ahead in the night’s marquee elections.”

2025 Campaign

Governor’s Race Draws Obama but Not Trump

November 1, 2025 · 7:39 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Former President Barack Obama is expected to join Representative Mikie Sherrill Saturday night in Newark, the latest in a string of visits by Democratic Party leaders as New Jersey’s hotly contested governor’s race enters its closing stretch,” the New York Times reports.

“Three Democratic governors — Wes Moore of Maryland, Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania and Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan — also swept into the state over the past several weeks, as did Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota…”

“The Republican nominee, Jack Ciattarelli, has had fewer reinforcements from his party show up, although several big names have jumped in to support his campaign in the final sprint before Election Day on Tuesday.”

2025 Campaign

Trump Is the Democrats’ Best Campaigner

November 1, 2025 · 7:34 am ET · Leave a Comment

Jonathan Martin: “The most revealing element of next week’s election is that President Donald Trump is all but ensuring defeat for Republicans, and his party is doing next to nothing about it.”

“The mere fact of his election last year handed Democrats a powerful turnout lever in blue-leaning New Jersey and Virginia, but Trump has further undermined GOP hopes in the two states with his conduct and has seemingly abandoned California Republicans.”

2025 Campaign

Bloomberg Pours Money Into Anti-Mamdani Effort

October 31, 2025 · 1:39 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Michael Bloomberg donated a combined $5 million to a couple of anti-Zohran Mamdani super PACs earlier this week, making the billionaire ex-mayor the general election cycle’s single largest political contributor,” the New York Daily News reports.

2025 Campaign

Early Voting Surges in New York City

October 31, 2025 · 9:12 am ET · Leave a Comment

“New York voters are turning out early in high numbers for a mayoral race that’s captured the country’s attention,” Bloomberg reports.

“After six days of early voting, 398,477 ballots have been cast, according to the New York City Board of Elections. That’s more than double the total of early voters in the 2021 general election and already higher than the 384,338 early votes during June’s primary.”

2025 Campaign, Election Administration

Janet Mills Won’t Release Her Medical Records

October 31, 2025 · 5:59 am ET · Leave a Comment

Maine Gov. Janet Mills, 77, won’t commit to release her medical records in her 2026 bid for Senate, as her Democratic primary opponents call for a new generation of leadership in Congress, Axios reports.

2025 Campaign ME-Sen

Mamdani Holds Comfortable Lead in New York City

October 30, 2025 · 6:34 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Fox News poll finds Zohran Mamdani with a 16-point lead over Andrew Cuomo for New York City mayor, 47% to 31%, with Curtis Sliwa trailing at 15%.

2025 Campaign

Sherrill Leads in New Jersey

October 30, 2025 · 6:31 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Fox News poll finds Mikie Sherrill leading Jack Ciattarelli by 52% to 45% heading into the last few days of the New Jersey governor’s race.

2025 Campaign NJ-Gov

Mamdani Keeps a Big Lead for Mayor

October 30, 2025 · 2:12 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Marist Poll in New York City finds Zohran Mamdani leading the mayor’s race with 48%, followed by Andrew Cuomo at 32% and Curtis Sliwa at 16%.

Even if Sliwa were to drop out of the contest, Mamdani would lead 51% to 44%. 

2025 Campaign

Sherrill Maintains Lead in New Jersey

October 30, 2025 · 2:07 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds Mikie Sherrill (D) leading Jack Ciattarelli (R) in the governor’s race, 51% to 43%.

Given a list of 11 issues and asked which is the most important one in deciding who to vote for in the election for governor, 25% of likely voters say taxes, 16% say ethics in government, and 14% say health care, with no other issue reaching double digits.

2025 Campaign NJ-Gov

Sherrill Leads in Close New Jersey Race

October 30, 2025 · 12:12 pm ET · Leave a Comment

A new Suffolk University poll in New Jersey finds Mikie Sherrill (D) leading Jack Ciattarelli (R) in the governor’s race, 46% to 42%.

2025 Campaign NJ-Gov

Trump Casts a Shadow on New Jersey

October 30, 2025 · 11:15 am ET · Leave a Comment

President Trump might not be on the ballot in New Jersey, “but he is one of the biggest forces in the state’s surprisingly competitive gubernatorial election,” the Washington Post reports.

“Trump lost New Jersey last year by less than six percentage points — a far lower margin than in past elections, which saw Republicans lose the state by double digits every cycle in the last 20 years. That narrow loss prompted Republicans to dare to hope they might win the governorship this year.”

2025 Campaign

Spanberger Solidly Ahead in Virginia

October 30, 2025 · 7:56 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Roanoke College poll finds Abigail Spanberger (D) holds a 10-point lead over Winsome Earle-Sears (R) in the race for governor of Virginia, 51% to 41%.

2025 Campaign

Zohran Mamdani Holds Huge Lead

October 30, 2025 · 6:09 am ET · Leave a Comment

A new Emerson College poll in New York City finds Zohran Mamdani leading the race for mayor with 50%, followed by Andrew Cuomo at 25% and Curtis Sliwa at 21%.

2025 Campaign

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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