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Builders Find Hardship in Trump’s Policies

November 2, 2025 at 6:47 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“When President Trump said he would enact sweeping tariffs and crack down on immigration, dire warnings rang out in the construction industry,” the New York Times reports.

“The policies threatened to push up building costs and deprive the industry of a crucial pool of labor when high interest rates were already depressing building activity.”

“Those forces are converging on builders, weighing them down in a potential drag on the economy. Higher import taxes on steel, copper, lumber and other materials are lifting construction prices and interrupting some jobs. Immigration enforcement is worsening worker shortages and delaying projects.”

Filed Under: Economy

Affordability Takes Center Stage

November 2, 2025 at 6:42 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Nearly one year since Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election, Americans’ concerns and anxieties about high bills, inflation and the cost of living that helped propel him back to the White House now loom over the upcoming elections in New Jersey and Virginia,” ABC News reports.

“How acutely voters are grappling with those challenges — and who they hold responsible for them — could shape the outcome of the major gubernatorial races, and with them, the trajectory of both parties heading into the 2026 midterms.”

Filed Under: Economy

Nearly 42 Million Lose Their Food Stamps

November 1, 2025 at 4:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Millions of low-income Americans are losing access to food aid as the nation’s largest anti-hunger program goes dark for the first time,” Politico reports.

“Congress failed to reopen the government before funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program ran out Saturday. A federal judge, in an eleventh-hour decision, directed the Trump administration to use emergency funds to pay for food aid in November — but even that wasn’t enough to prevent the immediate lapse of benefits, which officials say could take weeks to resume.”

Filed Under: Economy

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Farm State Republicans Reach Their Breaking Point

October 30, 2025 at 5:35 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For President Donald Trump, it was a brief musing to reporters on Air Force One about his plans to import beef from Argentina. For dozens of farm-state Republicans who have held their tongues as key Trump policies battered their constituents, it was the final straw,” Politico reports.

Filed Under: Economy

Shutdown Could Cost the U.S. Economy $14 Billion

October 29, 2025 at 11:36 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. economy will lose between $7 billion and $14 billion due to the federal government shutdown, according to a new report released by Congress’s nonpartisan bookkeeper,” the Washington Post reports.

Filed Under: Economy

Shutdown Pain Intensifies

October 29, 2025 at 9:15 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The pain of a U.S. government shutdown is poised to intensify this week as the funding lapse nears a full month with no resolution in sight,” NBC News reports.

“A series of deadlines in the coming days could have negative consequences for ordinary Americans, cutting off food assistance for low-income Americans, raising health insurance premiums for millions on Obamacare and depriving air-traffic controllers, TSA agents and other federal workers of paychecks.”

NewsNation: Shutdown pain spikes this weekend, upping pressure on Congress to strike deal.

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes, Economy

Tens of Thousands of White-Collar Jobs Are Disappearing

October 29, 2025 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Behind the wave of white-collar layoffs, in part, is the embrace by companies of artificial intelligence, which executives hope can handle more of the work that well-compensated white-collar workers have been doing. Investors have pushed the C-suite to work more efficiently with fewer employees. Factors driving slower hiring include political uncertainty and higher costs.”

“Altogether, these factors are remaking what office work looks like in the U.S., leaving the managers that remain with more workers to supervise and less time to meet with them, while saddling the employees fortunate enough to have jobs with heavier workloads.”

Axios: How an AI job apocalypse unfolds.

Filed Under: Economy, Technology

Fed’s Policy Path Looks More Treacherous

October 28, 2025 at 6:57 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Federal Reserve has wagered since August that it could afford to lower interest rates even as inflation picked back up for two crucial reasons. Price pressures from President Trump’s tariffs were likely to be temporary, and a weakening labor market would help to keep inflation in check as companies hesitated to make their products more expensive and wage growth stayed subdued,” the New York Times reports.

“The government shutdown, which is entering its fifth week, has made that path all the more treacherous. The federal workers who collect and report economic data on inflation, the labor market, wages and a range of other metrics are no longer performing that work, obscuring officials’ view of the economy at a moment when divisions over the policy outlook have sharpened.”

Filed Under: Economy, Financial Markets

The Economy Is In Uncharted Territory

October 27, 2025 at 7:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Data went dark this month. The government shutdown is halting the collection and release of statistics tracking the job market, public health and crop production, as well as other economic indicators,” Axios reports.

“The numbers are critical for understanding what’s happening in the U.S., particularly at a moment of rapid change in both government policies and in the job market.”

Filed Under: Economy

Scott Bessent Claims He Feels Soybean Farmers’ Pain

October 26, 2025 at 5:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Thanks to Trump’s tariff wars, China has essentially stopped buying American soybeans, dealing a significant financial blow to American farmers. China used to purchase 54 percent of the U.S. soy crop, but since the Trump administration imposed punishing tariffs on the nation, China has all but ceased buying American soy, getting their soy from Brazil instead,” Rolling Stone reports.

“Confronted with this fact by host Martha Raddatz on ABC’s This Week, Trump Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent — a former hedge fund manager who boasts a net worth of more than $500 million and who rents $25 million in farmland out to soybean farmers — tried to paint himself as the common farmer who understands American farmers’ ‘pain.’”

Said Bessent: “Well, Martha, in case you don’t know it, I’m actually a soybean farmer. So, I have felt this pain, too.”

Filed Under: Economy

U.S. Inflation Picked Up to 3%

October 24, 2025 at 8:39 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Consumer prices rose 3.0% in September from a year earlier, the Labor Department said Friday, hotter than August’s increase of 2.9%,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Economists and policymakers are paying close attention to the latest inflation report for clues on the state of the economy and the direction of interest rates. Hiring slowed to a crawl during the summer, prompting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in September.”

“The report is out more than a week late because a government shutdown has stopped work on economic data.”

Filed Under: Economy

Voters Now Trust Democrats More on the Economy

October 24, 2025 at 7:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “New polls from Gallup and YouGov show Democrats pulling ahead of Republicans as the party voters trust more to handle the economy. And the raw polling data in the Virginia governor’s race shows lower-income voters flocking to the Democratic candidate for governor, Abigail Spanberger, in protest of Trump’s trade and economic policies.”

Filed Under: Economy

Shutdown Poses New Economic Threat

October 21, 2025 at 7:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The economic effect of past government shutdowns has been straightforward. The economy loses some activity for a few weeks, then gains it back after the government reopens. The net cost is basically zero,” the New York Times reports.

“This time, the math may not be so benign.”

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes, Economy

Deadline for Trump’s Colleges ‘Compact’ Is Today

October 20, 2025 at 2:30 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The deadline for U.S. colleges and universities to sign a deal with the Trump administration — the “compact” devised by the Department of Education in exchange for priority treatment on federal grants — is today, NPR reports.

Nine schools originally received the “compact,” which would force schools to prevent transgender individuals from certain restrooms and sports, limit international student enrollment and adjust admission criteria. Six of those schools have already rejected the proposal.

Filed Under: Economy

Lower-Income Americans Are Missing Car Payments

October 20, 2025 at 12:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“More Americans are struggling to make their monthly car-loan payments, a sign that lower-income consumers are under growing financial pressure,” the New York Times reports.

“The share of subprime auto loans that were 60 days or more past due reached a high of nearly 6.5 percent in January and has lingered near that level, according to Fitch Ratings. Repossessions have swelled, more drivers are trading in vehicles that are worth less than they owe and lenders such as CarMax and Ally Financial have warned investors about auto loan performance.”

Filed Under: Economy

Inflation Picks Up Again

October 20, 2025 at 7:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump says he beat inflation. But several conventional measures of rising prices paint a different picture,” the Washington Post reports.

“Most experts agree inflation has picked up in recent months, in part because of Trump’s tariffs. Economists expect more tariff-driven price increases in the months to come.”

Filed Under: Economy

Americans Are More Worried About Job Market

October 19, 2025 at 7:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Americans are growing increasingly concerned about their ability to find a good job under President Donald Trump, an Associated Press-NORC poll finds, in what is a potential warning sign for Republicans as a promised economic boom has given way to hiring freezes and elevated inflation.

Filed Under: Economy

U.S. Tiptoes Away From Many of Trump’s Tariffs

October 17, 2025 at 10:43 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is quietly watering down some of the tariffs that underpin the president’s signature economic policy,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“President Trump in recent weeks has exempted dozens of products from his so-called reciprocal tariffs and offered to carve out hundreds more goods from farm products to airplane parts when countries strike trade deals with the U.S.”

“The offer to exempt more products from tariffs reflects a growing sentiment among administration officials that the U.S. should lower levies on goods that it doesn’t domestically produce.”

Filed Under: Economy, Foreign Affairs

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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