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Consumer Sentiment Nears Lowest Level Ever

November 22, 2025 at 8:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Consumer sentiment slid in November compared with last month, the University of Michigan’s monthly survey found,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The survey’s headline index dropped to 51, hovering near one of the lowest levels in the monthly poll’s history.”

Filed Under: Economy

Middle Class Is Buckling After Five Years of Inflation

November 21, 2025 at 7:27 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “After nearly five years of high prices, many middle-class earners thought life would be more affordable by now. Costs for goods and services are 25% above where they were in 2020. Even though the inflation rate is below its recent 2022 high, certain essentials like coffee, ground beef and car repairs are up markedly this year.”

Filed Under: Economy

Holiday Hiring Slows

November 20, 2025 at 8:35 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Employers are signaling a more cautious approach to holiday hiring this year. Retailers that normally add staff for the Thanksgiving-to-Christmas rush, such as UPS, haven’t released their typical hiring targets. Others, like Kroger, have said they expected to bring on fewer temporary workers than last year.”

Filed Under: Economy


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Warning Signs Everywhere for Republicans

November 20, 2025 at 7:08 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “Step back and survey the political landscape. Republicans aren’t only losing elections, they’re consistently losing support on prices and the economy, in all polls, big or small, Republican or Democrat, over a several-month period. You can’t spin yourself out of reality.”

“Five new polls this week show Republicans’ problems might be even deeper and more worrisome than many fear.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, Economy

Trump’s Economic Messaging Isn’t Working

November 20, 2025 at 6:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “It may be that Trump is — bear with me here — actually paying a price for telling Americans not to believe their own eyes. As I’ve written recently, it’s important not to engage in false equivalence. Biden and company told Americans that their incomes were outpacing inflation, which was true but not what people wanted to hear. Trump keeps insisting that grocery prices are way down, which is simply a lie. And people may be noticing.”

“The absolute absurdity of the Trump team’s efforts to explain away bad economic news may also be taking a toll.”

Filed Under: Economy

Bessent Blames High Beef Prices on Migrants

November 20, 2025 at 6:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent tried to explain high beef prices over the weekend by blaming undocumented immigrants, saying they were bringing sick cows into the United States. Mr. Bessent said that forced the Trump administration to halt imports of beef from Mexico, which is the second-largest supplier of beef to the United States.”

Filed Under: Economy

Americans View Trump’s Economy Worse Than Biden’s

November 20, 2025 at 6:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Fox News poll finds some 76% of voters view the economy negatively.

“That’s worse than the 67% who felt that way in July, and the 70% who said the same at the end of former President Biden’s term.”

Also important: “Voters blame the president. About twice as many say President Donald Trump, rather than Biden, is responsible for the current economy. And three times as many say Trump’s economic policies have hurt them.”

And more: “Approval of how Trump is handling the economy hit a new low and disapproval of his overall job performance hit record highs among core supporters.”

Filed Under: Economy

Trump Struggles with Affordability Message

November 20, 2025 at 6:12 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “For politicians eyeing the midterms, the only economic fact that matters is that too many voters who struggled to make ends meet last year have felt little or no improvement in their finances. But so far, Trump — typically such a powerful deliverer of political messages — just doesn’t seem to have his heart in a cost-of-living campaign.”

“Every day, Trump speaks passionately about his achievements — a record-breaking stock market, big reductions in egg and gasoline prices, strong earnings growth, no tax on tips. But there’s no acknowledgement his supporters are still struggling, no promise to tackle their concerns head-on.”

“In fact, Trump seems to find the whole debate to be a bit of nonsense.”

Filed Under: Economy

Americans’ Views on Democracy Linked to Economy

November 20, 2025 at 6:01 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Your financial situation — not just what you earn but whether you’re in over your head — is strongly linked to how you feel about democracy, according to a significant new study by Gallup and the Charles F. Kettering Foundation,” Axios reports.

Filed Under: Economy

Labor Department Says Some Data Is Gone for Good

November 19, 2025 at 2:18 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Bureau of Labor Statistics announced a new schedule on Wednesday for its data releases in the wake of the government shutdown,” the New York Times reports.

“Notably, the October jobs report will not be released independently.”

Filed Under: Economy

Trump’s Tariffs Sent Trade Plummeting

November 19, 2025 at 9:41 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s sweeping tariffs took a toll on trade in August, as imports dropped 5.1 percent, to $340.4 billion, after taxes on exports from roughly 90 countries went into effect on Aug. 7,” the New York Times reports.

“The data, which had been delayed by more than a month because of the government shutdown, gives the first look at trade patterns after Mr. Trump introduced what is effectively a new trading system for the United States.”

Filed Under: Economy

More Consumers Falling Behind on Their Utility Bills

November 17, 2025 at 7:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“More people are falling behind on paying their bills to keep on the lights and heat their homes, according to a new analysis of consumer data — a warning sign for the U.S. economy and another political headache for President Donald Trump,” the AP reports.

Filed Under: Economy, Energy

White House Hunts for Ways to Lower Cost of Living

November 16, 2025 at 6:17 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A proposal to give Americans direct payments of $2,000 or more. An antitrust probe into allegations that meatpacking companies are colluding to drive up beef prices. And a new plan to lower tariffs on coffee, fruit and other popular products,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“President Trump and his advisers are rushing to try to lower prices for U.S. consumers after voters sent a warning shot to Republicans this month over the high cost of living.”

Filed Under: Economy

Trump Implements Major Rollback of Food Tariffs

November 14, 2025 at 5:24 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump on Friday moved to lower tariffs on beef, coffee and dozens of agricultural and food goods, marking a significant rollback of his so-called reciprocal levies as he looks for ways to address Americans’ concerns about the cost of living,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“The move continues a shift away from Trump’s maximalist tariff policy. When the president announced his reciprocal tariffs this spring, his economic team insisted there would be no exemptions to the levies.”

Filed Under: Economy

Affordability Is About Current Prices

November 14, 2025 at 2:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Stephen Roach: “Affordability is about the price level, not the rate of change of prices. Disinflation, or a decelerating rate of change in inflation is a good thing, especially for inflation-targeting central banks. But even in a disinflation, prices keep rising, providing no relief to the fundamental problem of pocket-book distress known as affordability.”

“Moreover, with the lagged impacts of tariffs now largely responsible for most of the reacceleration of headline CPI inflation from the April low of 2.3% to the latest reading of 3.0% in pre-shutdown September, the price-level affordability issue is once again going from bad to worse. And these pressures are likely to persist, with further tariff-related increases still in the pipeline.”

Filed Under: Economy

Median Age of Homebuyers Keeps Growing

November 14, 2025 at 1:55 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Torsten Slok: “In 2010, the median age of all US homebuyers was 39 years old. Today, it is 59.”

Filed Under: Economy

The Worst College Grad Job Market in Years

November 14, 2025 at 10:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Employers have a warning for the Class of 2026: Next spring’s graduate-hiring market is likely to be even worse than this year’s,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Six months out from graduation season, more than half of 183 employers surveyed by the National Association of Colleges and Employers rate the job market for the Class of 2026 as poor or fair. That is the most pessimistic outlook since the first year of the pandemic, according to the survey, which is widely seen as an early signal of graduate hiring each year.”

Derek Thompson: Are young people screwed?

Filed Under: Economy

Democrats Overtake Republicans on Handling the Economy

November 14, 2025 at 8:30 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “As of Q3 2025, the Democrats have their first lead on the economy in over 5 years — and the largest lead over Republicans in over a decade.”

Filed Under: Economy

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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