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Oil Prices Hinge On China’s Next Move

July 13, 2026 at 3:59 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The passage of oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz has been slowed significantly by the persistent cycle of hostility between the United States and Iran. But whether prices at the pump rise or fall will depend not only on how much oil flows out of the Persian Gulf but also on decisions made by China,” the New York Times reports.

“Typically the world’s largest oil importer, China slashed purchases this spring, reducing demand by so much that it prevented oil prices from soaring even higher earlier in the war.”

“Now, one of the biggest questions facing the market is: When will China start buying more oil again?”

Filed Under: Energy, Foreign Affairs

Strategic Oil Reserve Strained by Overuse

July 13, 2026 at 3:26 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. is tapping in to its national stocks of crude with abandon. The withdrawals are taking a toll on the strategic reserve system,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Just in the past four years, the Biden and Trump administrations have ordered the largest releases from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve while seeking to tamp down soaring oil prices—a total of 352 million barrels, or nearly half the capacity of the stocks.”

“Now, frequent drawdowns, wear-and-tear and a lack of investments are straining the reserve.”

Filed Under: Energy

How Ukraine Is Taking Out Russia’s Refineries

July 13, 2026 at 2:54 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Ukraine is targeting Russian energy infrastructure with its growing fleet of long-range drones and missiles, causing fuel shortages in one of the world’s biggest oil and gas producers and embarrassing President Vladimir Putin,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“In dozens of strikes since this spring, Ukraine has pounded oil refineries across its larger neighbor, hitting all of Russia’s 10 biggest plants, based on capacity figures from S&P Global Energy. More than one-quarter of Russian refining capacity has been knocked offline, analysts estimate.”

Filed Under: Energy, Foreign Affairs

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White House Announces First ‘Freedom Fuel’ Gas Station

July 8, 2026 at 1:03 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The White House announced the first ‘Freedom Fuel’ gas station, which it says is selling gas at a below-market rate of $3.47 a gallon,” CBS News reports.

“The White House did not immediately respond to CBS News’ inquiry about who operates Freedom Fuel, or how it is offering gasoline at more than 30 cents a gallon below the national average.”

Filed Under: Energy

Oil Market Calm Shattered by Fresh Hostilities

July 8, 2026 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The latest cracks in the cease-fire between the United States and Iran have jolted an oil market that in recent weeks seemed to think durable peace between the countries was within reach,” the New York Times reports.

“By midday Wednesday, international oil prices were approaching $80 a barrel, their highest level in weeks, after President Trump said the temporary truce with Iran was ‘over.'”

Filed Under: Energy

Oil Jumps After Trump’s Iran Ceasefire Comments

July 8, 2026 at 9:14 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oil markets are taking President Trump’s claim that the Iran ceasefire is ‘over’ seriously, but not literally,” Axios reports.

“The price jump is big, but even now, there are signs that the markets aren’t expecting a complete return to war.”

Filed Under: Energy

Oil Prices Jump After U.S. and Iran Trade Strikes

July 8, 2026 at 5:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oil prices spiked on Wednesday to the highest level in weeks after President Trump said that he thought the cease-fire with Iran was ‘over’ amid a series of strikes in the Persian Gulf,” the New York Times reports.

“The Trump administration also revoked a waiver that allowed Iran to sell oil in retaliation for attacks on tankers this week in the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial conduit for the world’s energy.”

NewsNation: Oil prices jump 5 percent after U.S. revokes Iran oil sanctions waiver.

Filed Under: Energy

July 4th Gas Prices Force Tough Choices for Americans

July 3, 2026 at 8:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Americans hit the peak of the summer driving season this July 4 holiday weekend wincing at the cost of gasoline, still running nearly a dollar a gallon higher than before the war with Iran despite falling sharply in recent weeks,” Bloomberg reports.

Filed Under: Energy

July 4 Gas Prices Will Be the Highest Since 2022

July 2, 2026 at 12:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The average regular U.S. gasoline price is $3.85 as of Thursday morning, per AAA data,” Axios reports.

“That’s lower than it was, but it’s by far the highest price heading into the July 4 weekend since 2022, when the national average was $4.80 on the holiday itself.”

Filed Under: Energy

Speaker Asks Trump to Let Shipping Waiver Expire

July 1, 2026 at 2:36 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Speaker Mike Johnson and other Republicans in the US House of Representatives are asking President Donald Trump to allow a waiver of a century-old shipping law granted in March to tame fuel prices to expire,” Bloomberg reports.

“The lawmakers said in a letter to the president made public Wednesday that the 126-year-old Jones Act is crucial for protecting the US maritime industry and that the waiver is being exploited by other nations. They urged Trump to allow it to lapse as scheduled on Aug. 16.”

Filed Under: Energy

Bessent Claims Only China Buying Iranian Oil

June 30, 2026 at 9:11 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that most nations aren’t yet ready to purchase Iranian oil, wary over the potential of the US reimposing sanctions, and that this is an incentive for Tehran to negotiate with Washington,” Bloomberg reports.

Said Bessent: “The Iranians thus far have not been able to sell their oil, because the buyers are a little wary of, will it be re-sanctioned. No one other than China, who was already buying it when it was sanctioned, has bought it, so it’s still trading at a discount.”

Filed Under: Energy, Foreign Affairs

Another Trump Payment to Stop Offshore Wind

June 29, 2026 at 1:46 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration on Monday said it would pay Duke Energy $129 million to abandon its plans to build an offshore wind farm off North Carolina,” the New York Times reports.

“It was the fourth such deal struck by the administration to throttle the development of offshore wind power, a source of renewable energy that President Trump has disparaged for decades.”

Bloomberg: Trump pulls plug on Carolina wind project as cancellations mount.

Filed Under: Energy

Gas Prices Are Slow to Follow Oil Lower

June 25, 2026 at 7:38 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Axios: “From early April peaks, U.S. crude oil was down roughly 36% through Tuesday. Brent, the global benchmark, was down about 44%.”

“U.S. gasoline prices are down too, but not as much, with the national average all-grade price of a regular gallon down about 12.5% from its recent peak of $4.63 in mid-May to $4.05 this week.”

Bloomberg: Trump warns ‘big trouble’ for oil companies if price gouging.

Filed Under: Energy

Trump Channels Biden’s Criticism of Big Oil

June 24, 2026 at 4:39 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump is pulling from a familiar Democratic playbook as he wrestles with sticky gasoline prices: blaming Big Oil,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“During the U.S. war against Iran, Trump repeatedly promised that prices at the pump would fall quickly once the conflict ended. But 10 days after he announced an agreement with Iran, the price of a gallon of gasoline still hovers around $3.93—nearly $1 higher than before the hostilities broke out.”

“Now, Trump is accusing his own oil allies of gouging consumers.”

Filed Under: Energy

Trump Threatens Probe of Oil Companies

June 24, 2026 at 10:58 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump says he ordered the Justice Department to probe whether oil companies are gouging consumers,” Axios reports.

“It shows a new level of Trump’s frustration with prices at the pump — and introduces a new wild card for oil companies, depending on what the Justice Department decides to do with the president’s overnight Truth Social post.”

Filed Under: Energy

Fossil Fuel Companies Win Lower Costs Under New Rules

June 22, 2026 at 2:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The Interior Department issued a pair of proposed rules that would reduce costs and weaken requirements for fossil fuel companies that operate on federal lands,” the New York Times reports.

“The first rule would drastically lower the fees that companies must pay before drilling, while the second could allow firms to release more methane, a powerful greenhouse gas that contributes to climate change.”

Filed Under: Energy

U.S. Oil Skipping Chance to Grab Share from the Gulf

June 22, 2026 at 11:06 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The war with Iran has pulled the American oil industry out of a slump, raising corporate profits and spurring some companies to drill more wells,” the New York Times reports.

“U.S. oil production is now forecast to grow modestly next year, topping 14 million barrels a day for the first time.”

“But the war, paused for now by a preliminary deal, is unlikely to provide enough of a lift for the United States to take significant business from Persian Gulf countries that have been hobbled by the conflict, oil executives and investors said.”

Filed Under: Energy

U.S. Authorizes Limited Iranian Oil Sales Under Trump Deal

June 22, 2026 at 11:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S. has authorized the sale of Iranian oil and petroleum products as part of the agreement to end the war against Tehran that President Donald Trump signed last week, a sweeping change after years of increasingly punitive economic sanctions,” Bloomberg reports.

Semafor: Can the U.S. waive sanctions on Iranian oil?

Filed Under: Energy, Foreign Affairs

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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