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Democrats Rethink Their Approach to Climate Change

June 11, 2026 at 6:33 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Democrats and environmentalists are shifting their approach to climate change, as the economic fallout from war in the Middle East has reshuffled the politics of energy.”

“With voters worried about spiking gas prices and inflation, some of the party’s leaders argue that they should stop trying to throttle oil and gas, which heat the planet when burned. It’s a rejection of the approach taken during the Biden administration, which treated climate change as an existential threat and tried to stop new drilling and pipelines.”

Filed Under: Energy, Environment

Another Tanker Appears to Have Been Attacked

June 11, 2026 at 6:29 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “Another tanker appears to have been struck in the Gulf of Oman, following attacks by the US on two other vessels in the area earlier this week.”

Filed Under: Energy

Oil Executives Warn Gas Prices Will Get Worse

June 11, 2026 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Oil and gas executives have warned the White House that gasoline prices could surge in coming months as fuel inventories fall to critical lows, complicating the Trump administration’s efforts to contain inflation that has already rattled American consumers.”

“Industry officials say they are doing everything they can to sound an alarm that prices are about to soar as the commercial and government inventories that have mitigated price rises so far are rapidly depleting… Some inventories could be wiped out within weeks.”

Filed Under: Energy

China Is Propping Up the World Economy

June 11, 2026 at 5:40 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“A sharp fall in China’s crude oil imports during the Iran war has been instrumental in holding down oil prices and keeping the global economy humming,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Clues are emerging in the mystery of the missing three million barrels—the oil that China would normally be importing but isn’t now. Chinese people are driving fewer gasoline-powered cars and taking trains instead of planes. The country is dialing back operations at the plants that turn crude oil into feedstock for materials such as plastics. And Beijing is beginning to draw down reserves.”

“The question is how long the import cuts can last—and what would happen if China needs to start buying more again.”

Filed Under: Economy, Energy

Iran War Forces Energy Importers to Turn Inward

June 8, 2026 at 11:07 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “The monthslong closure of the Strait of Hormuz is reinforcing an expensive geopolitical lesson about how risky it can be to rely on imported energy.”

“From South America to Southeast Asia, governments and private companies are being forced to look inward and take steps to harness what they can domestically, even when doing so raises upfront costs. Call it the era of me-first energy.”

Filed Under: Energy

Hormuz Squeeze Is Redrawing the Oil Map for Good

June 4, 2026 at 7:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “For decades, the Persian Gulf’s energy map converged on a single chokepoint: the Strait of Hormuz. Now, spurred by the Iran war, the region’s petrostates are rushing to draw new lines to circumvent it.”

“Across the Gulf, governments are pouring billions into new oil pipelines, rail corridors and energy storage hubs to bypass the waterway in what is set to become one of the most durable outcomes of the conflict. The new energy links are part of a broader redrawing of the region’s logistics map, shifting trade toward trucking, rail and new ports.”

Filed Under: Energy

Trump Plans $700 Million in Funding for Coal Plants

June 3, 2026 at 4:52 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “President Donald Trump is preparing to use Cold War-era authorities to dole hundreds of millions of federal dollars to support coal-fired electricity as well as US exports of the fossil fuel.”

“Trump is expected to announce he’s delivering the funding for US coal plants and an American export terminal under the 1950 Defense Production Act during an Oval Office event Thursday.”

Filed Under: Energy

Iran War Stalemate Drags On

May 22, 2026 at 9:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “A month has now passed since Donald Trump announced an indefinite ceasefire with Iran, and the tense stalemate looms over the start of Americans’ summer travel season, with no end in sight.”

“Heading into a holiday weekend in which 45 million people in the US plan to travel (and 87% by car), the average gallon of gas was up to $4.55 on Friday, according to AAA. It’s 42% higher than a year ago, and could keep going.”

“That’s economic and political pressure all in one, and the endgame remains elusive.”

Filed Under: Energy, Foreign Affairs

Trump Faces a Symbolic Blow

May 22, 2026 at 7:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump’s war threatens to push gas prices past the record high under former President Joe Biden. They aren’t the only numbers the White House staff is sweating,” Politico reports.

“While record high prices at the pump are a persistent concern, the bond market’s spike over the last several days also has aides and allies fretting, worried that borrowing costs will pummel a nation that runs on credit and make it harder for the Federal Reserve to cut rates.”

“The two moving in tandem are a double whammy for a White House working to assuage voters’ cost-of-living concerns ahead of an expected difficult midterm election.”

Filed Under: Energy, Financial Markets

Oil Prices Jump on Statement by Iran’s Supreme Leader

May 21, 2026 at 9:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Oil prices jumped Thursday on a report that Iran’s supreme leader will not allow the country’s enriched uranium to be shipped abroad, a position that will likely complicate peace talks with the U.S.,” CNBC reports.

Filed Under: Energy

Gas Prices Likely to Spike Even Higher

May 21, 2026 at 7:17 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

GasBuddy predicts another big spike in gas prices next week — up from $4.56 a gallon — if President Trump doesn’t figure out a way to open the Strait of Hormuz.

Filed Under: Energy

All 50 States Have $4 a Gallon Gas

May 20, 2026 at 6:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“All 50 states have average gas prices above $4 a gallon, AAA said Wednesday, with seven now topping $5 a gallon,” Axios reports.

Filed Under: Energy

Three Indicators for the Next Global Economic Shock

May 18, 2026 at 11:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Robert Pape looks at the likelihood of the next global economic shock

“First, inventories. Watch U.S. East Coast diesel inventories, European LNG storage levels, and Asian jet fuel reserves. U.S. distillate inventories are already running roughly 11–18 percent below seasonal norms, while European gas storage remains near 30–35 percent full — far below the roughly 55 percent level Europe normally enters summer with. Historically, once inventories fall below roughly 20–25 days of forward demand coverage, governments begin losing the ability to stabilize shortages through temporary releases and subsidies alone.”

“Second, industrial slowdown. Watch for refinery utilization cuts in India and South Korea, fertilizer shutdowns tied to LNG shortages, falling container freight volumes, and airline route reductions across Asia and Europe. If major Asian refiners begin reducing throughput by 10–15 percent, or if airlines begin cutting summer schedules by another 5–10 percent because of jet fuel shortages rather than weak demand, the crisis has likely entered synchronized contraction.”

“Third, political intervention. Export controls, diesel allocation programs, anti-price-gouging measures, emergency food subsidies, and fuel rationing indicate governments are entering the political phase of the crisis. Early warning signs include limits on diesel purchases, restrictions on fertilizer exports, government fuel-allocation orders, and emergency price caps spreading across multiple countries simultaneously.”

Filed Under: Economy, Energy

Worldwide Demand Keeps Energy Prices High in U.S.

May 18, 2026 at 6:00 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “For now, the U.S. has been able to meet needs at home and replace some of the missing Gulf barrels. No nation in the world’s history has ever exported as much energy: It shipped 14.2 million barrels of crude and products a day late last month—the rough equivalent of one out of seven barrels consumed globally in ordinary times.”

“But trouble is brewing. U.S. oil producers are barely stepping up their output, refineries are running at full-throttle, and domestic stocks are getting depleted fast. The upshot: American consumers are set to keep paying more for fuel to stay inside the U.S.’s borders.”

Filed Under: Energy

Oil Prices Could Soon Rise Convulsively

May 15, 2026 at 4:20 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Economist: “The largest supply shock in petroleum history is getting larger fast. Some 2 billion barrels, or 5% of the world’s yearly oil supply, have already been lost because the Strait of Hormuz is shut. Every day it remains closed the deficit grows by 14 million barrels. Since peace talks between America and Iran have stalled, a reopening still seems many days away.”

“Yet oil markets look strangely calm. Brent crude futures, at $105 a barrel, have fallen from April highs of nearly $120. They remain below the peak of $129 in 2022, after Russia invaded Ukraine. Spot prices have slid even more, implying that crude oil is more plentiful than it was earlier in the war. The surprising mini-glut is real—but do not take too much comfort from it. A full-blown energy disaster may be weeks away.”

Filed Under: Energy

Cuba Says It’s Entirely Out of Fuel

May 14, 2026 at 11:31 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Bloomberg: “Cuba said the country has completely run out of the diesel and fuel oil it needs to keep its power plants running, with civil unrest starting to break out amid a de facto US energy blockade of the communist-run nation.”

Filed Under: Energy

Exchange of the Day

May 13, 2026 at 12:33 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Interior Secretary Doug Bergum was questioned at a House hearing by Rep. Jared Huffman (D-CA):

BURGUM: When the sun goes down, solar produces zero electricity.

HUFFMAN: I want to enter into the record this amazing new technology that apparently the secretary is unaware of — it’s a battery.

Filed Under: Energy

John Thune Cools on Gas Tax Holiday

May 12, 2026 at 2:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Punchbowl News: “Trump’s push for a federal gas tax holiday isn’t going over well with Senate Republicans. Thune was more critical of the idea on Tuesday than he was even the day before.”

“Thune wouldn’t commit to holding a standalone floor vote on a gas tax suspension, saying it was more likely that a vote would occur as an amendment to a different bill.”

Said Thune: “That does, obviously, impair significantly the highway trust fund, which is already getting transfers from the general fund because it’s not keeping up. I’m not discounting it, but I’m saying there are implications around that that we need to think about.”

Filed Under: Budget & Taxes, Energy

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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