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The Warnings That Came Before the Iran War

August 25, 2026 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wall Street Journal: “Iran was at its weakest point in decades, senior aides and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told him, providing Trump the rare opportunity to dismantle Iran’s nuclear program and bolster his legacy as a peacemaker. The question was whether a large-scale attack would work and possibly topple the regime.”

“Then-Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard outlined assessments from America’s intelligence apparatus. According to people familiar with the meeting, she told Trump that killing Iran’s supreme leader would likely usher in a more hard-line regime open to acquiring nuclear weapons. Tehran would rush to close the Strait of Hormuz, destabilizing the global energy market. And it would strike U.S. forces and partners in the Middle East, prompting questions about American resolve and reliability with allies.”

“The notes of caution echoed warnings Trump was receiving from all corners.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs, National Security, White House

Trump’s ‘Economic D-Day’ for Iran Comes Last

August 24, 2026 at 8:03 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “Ordinarily, Washington approaches a problem like dismantling Iran’s nuclear program with straightforward diplomacy. If that goes nowhere, officials mix in escalating economic sanctions, adding an element of coercion. Military action is a last resort, and only if the president determines that risking American lives is worth the possible benefit.”

“But Mr. Trump leaped from a brief round of diplomacy straight to bombing runs, meant to force the country to give up its stockpiles of 11 tons of enriched uranium — including a batch that was nearly bomb-ready — and perhaps collapse the government. The attacks failed at both objectives, at the cost of 18 American lives, hundreds or thousands of Iranians dead, and a price tag that independent analysts put at over $100 billion, though the Pentagon’s estimates are lower.”

“And only now are Mr. Trump and Mr. Bessent trying one more grand experiment, named Operation Economic Outcast, that the White House described as ‘an unprecedented campaign to sever every remaining economic lifeline sustaining the Islamic Republic of Iran.'”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs, White House

Trump Trades Wild Insults with Canada’s Ford

August 24, 2026 at 7:25 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The trade war between the U.S. and Canada erupted into an extraordinary exchange of insults and threats between President Trump and Doug Ford, the leader of Ontario, Bloomberg reports.

Trump posted on Truth Social calling Ford “the less charismatic, intelligent, and overall unimpressive brother of the late, great, Rob Ford.”

He also called Ford the “Flunky” of “Governor” Mark Carney, a jibe he returns to when relations sour, alongside saying Canada should be the 51st US state.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Exchange of the Day

August 24, 2026 at 5:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ontario premier Doug Ford took questions from reporters:

REPORTER: You sound more subdued than you did this morning when you said Donald Trump can kiss your ass. Did the Prime Minister tell you to tone it down?

FORD: No, he didn’t. I have a lot of real estate on my ass, so he has a lot of room to kiss my ass.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Quote of the Day

August 24, 2026 at 5:24 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“I don’t respond to a dictator like President Trump, a bully like President Trump… I’m not gonna take any advice off a guy that’s the king of bankruptcies… Your own people, President Trump, don’t even like you. And they’re gonna speak loud and clear in the midterms. If I was allowed to, I’d be down there door-knocking.”

— Ontario premier Doug Ford, speaking to reporters.

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, Foreign Affairs

Bessent Unveils Sweeping Campaign of Sanctions on Iran

August 24, 2026 at 1:55 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Monday unveiled a sweeping campaign of financial sanctions and diplomatic pressure designed to sever Iran’s remaining links to the global economy,” the Washington Post reports.

“Dubbed ‘Operation Economic Outcast,’ the initiative is aimed at closing loopholes in the existing U.S. financial dragnet. The Trump administration has repeatedly put sanctions on foreign companies involved in the oil trade that represents Iran’s principal source of revenue even as its military campaign against Tehran has flirted with stalemate.”

“President Donald Trump is contacting other world leaders to demand that they support the United States in seeking the ‘economic asphyxiation of this regime.'”

Bloomberg: Bessent unveils plan to sever Iran access to global economy.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs, White House

The U.S. Cannot Be Trusted

August 24, 2026 at 1:17 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Phillips O’Brien: “If your entire policy is to lie, all the time and with malice, it makes a mockery of international relations.”

“Yet, that is precisely where the USA is now. It has reached the state where there is no national interest or even national policy. There is the will of a fundamentally dishonest president, often filtered through the mind of a 35-year-old stalker.”

“As I have said before, this means that the US government needs to be seen as a threat, not a friend, by other states, particularly those who are, or at least were, US allies. The US cannot be trusted because it is run by a dishonest criminal, and behaves as such.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Escalated U.S.-Canada Trade Talks Threaten Fallout

August 24, 2026 at 1:16 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“America’s path to lower inflation depends in part on trade wars and actual wars becoming less economically disruptive. In recent days, both have taken turns that threaten the opposite,” Axios reports.

“A period of relative calm on those fronts is now giving way to renewed tensions, with Canada, China and Iran all posing fresh economic risks.”

Filed Under: Economy, Foreign Affairs

Most Canadians Support End of U.S. Trade Talks

August 24, 2026 at 12:11 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Over three-quarters of Canadians believe that their country ending trade negotiations with the U.S. was the right call, according to a new poll,” NewsNation reports.

“In the Angus Reid Institute poll, 76 percent of respondents said their country was in the right ‘by refusing the terms being offered and ending negotiations without a trade agreement,’ while 13 percent said the opposite. Eleven percent were unsure about Canada’s decision.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Experts Warn of Worldwide War

August 24, 2026 at 11:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Increasingly intertwined conflicts are raising the specter of a single, global war,” Semafor reports.

“Recent reports have pointed to Russia ferrying materiel to Iran and North Korea deploying drone operators in support of Moscow, while China and Taiwan are both learning lessons from the conflict in Ukraine.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs, National Security

Ontario Says Canada Should Be Ready to Cut Electricity

August 24, 2026 at 11:43 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Ontario Premier Doug Ford said Monday that Ronald Reagan would be ‘throwing up’ over President Donald Trump’s trade policies and threatened to cut off electricity and critical minerals to the United States as Trump escalated the trade fight,” the Associated Press reports.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Trump Threatens 50% Tariff On Automobiles From Canada

August 24, 2026 at 10:09 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump said Monday the U.S. will impose 50% tariffs on automobiles and parts from Canada starting in January, the latest escalation in a tit-for-tat trade conflict that erupted over the weekend,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Bloomberg: Trump vows to double tariffs on Canadian autos, escalating fight.

Filed Under: Economy, Foreign Affairs, White House

Trade War Could Drive Inflation Ahead of Midterms

August 24, 2026 at 9:50 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The U.S.-Canada trade war could stoke inflation, piling pressure on the Trump administration ahead of November’s key midterm elections,” Semafor reports.

“Canada vowed to match 50% U.S. tariffs after talks broke down over the weekend. Though the U.S. levies only apply to a subset of Canadian goods, the move could add to price rises sparked by the war in Iran.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, Economy, Foreign Affairs

Putin Authorizes State Control of Some Infrastructure

August 24, 2026 at 9:47 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Russian President Vladimir Putin is allowing the state to take over temporary control of critical facilities that are regarded as insufficiently protected from Ukrainian drone attacks,” Bloomberg reports.

“If certain facilities deemed critical don’t enact security measures in a timely manner or violate security requirements for preventing drone attacks, the state may place them under temporary management, according to a presidential order published Monday on a government website.”

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

Why Trump Will Lose His Trade War with Canada

August 24, 2026 at 7:27 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “On the face of it, the opponents — I still have to rub my eyes at the idea of Canada as an enemy — appear extremely unevenly matched. The U.S. economy is a dozen times larger than Canada’s. We buy three-quarters of their exports, while they buy only about a sixth of ours. Surely they must have much more than we do to lose from trade conflict.”

“Yet one clear lesson from a year and a half of Trumpian trade war is that when trade conflicts become extreme, access to crucial imports is more important than the ability to export to another country’s markets. In the case of Trump’s tariffs on China, they have been little more than an inconvenience to the Chinese economy. But China’s threat to cut off exports of rare earths is an existential threat to Western technology industries.”

“And the U.S. economy is far more dependent on Canadian goods than most Americans realize.”

Filed Under: Economy, Foreign Affairs

U.S. Set to Unveil Fresh Iran Sanctions

August 24, 2026 at 7:12 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is expected to announce a fresh set of economic measures against Iran, as Washington pivots from strike threats to tougher sanctions as a way to end the near six-month war,” Bloomberg reports.

“Bessent will unveil details of a plan to more effectively isolate the Islamic Republic later Monday, building on already extensive sanctions that have been in place for decades. It’s unclear what will be announced, but the move may impact some of Iran’s largest trading partners, including China, Turkey and India.”

CBS News: White House promises full-throttle economic warfare against Iran with new plan for sanctions.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs, White House

Canada Sees Long Trade War with U.S.

August 24, 2026 at 7:10 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government sees little chance of resuming talks with President Donald Trump before the midterm elections after trade negotiations collapsed,” Bloomberg reports.

“The Canadian leader, who said he will prepare a domestic aid package to help businesses hurt by U.S. tariffs, is designing those measures to ride out the balance of Trump’s term if necessary.”

“The preparations from Carney signal the gravity of the breakdown in talks late Friday, which led Trump to impose new tariffs and Carney to announce retaliation, risking a spiraling trade fight between the two closely integrated economies.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, Economy, Foreign Affairs

Iran Says Support for New Sanctions Would Be ‘Act of War’

August 24, 2026 at 7:04 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The new head of Iran’s top security body warned Sunday that Tehran will see any country’s support for new U.S. economic measures against the Islamic Republic as an ‘act of war,’ while Iran’s president defended a memorandum of understanding with the United States as the best way out of the stalled conflict,” the Associated Press reports.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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