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Just dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 192

November Surprises

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Trial Balloon · Ep. 192: November Surprises

U.S. Nearing Deal with Russia to Free Multiple Americans

October 20, 2026 · 2:58 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is closing in on a deal with Moscow that would see multiple Americans released from detention in Russia,” ABC News reports.

Foreign Affairs

Trump Faces Lawsuit Over 50% Tariffs on Canada

October 20, 2026 · 12:32 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration is being sued over the president’s imposition of 50% tariffs on an array of Canadian goods,” Bloomberg reports.

“The lawsuit, filed on Tuesday, comes amid an ongoing trade war between the U.S. and one of its largest trading partners. The food import business that sued argues President Donald Trump lacked authority to invoke a never-before-used section of U.S. law to order the levies against Canada and that this is part of a broader trend of illegal taxing actions by the administration.”

Economy, Foreign Affairs

GOP Lawmakers Scramble to Spare Ukraine From Trump

October 20, 2026 · 7:51 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Republican lawmakers are incensed about President Donald Trump’s dismissal of Ukraine — and powerless to stop him,” Politico reports.

“That frustration hit a new peak on Monday as they sought to address the president’s decision to purchase Russian diesel, waive sanctions on Moscow and potentially stop sharing intelligence with Ukraine. Those moves, coupled with days of unexplained disruptions in Kyiv’s U.S.-controlled satellite defenses, left them freelancing remedies to address the new rift between Washington and Kyiv.”

Foreign Affairs, White House

The Traitor in Chief

October 20, 2026 · 7:09 am ET · Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “Trump’s support for Putin is unique in American history. Previous administrations have made deals with erstwhile adversaries, as Nixon did with China, and given up on support for failing allies, as the U.S. did in Vietnam and Afghanistan. But never before have we outright switched sides, let alone supported an aggressor while vilifying that aggressor’s victim.”

“What makes Trump’s support for Putin even more remarkable is that Russia has, by many accounts, been actively aiding Iran against America in the war Trump started. Who says so? Well, among others, Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff. And the aid goes beyond intelligence sharing that has helped Iran target U.S. forces. Russia has also reportedly been sending Iran explosives and weapons components.”

Foreign Affairs, White House

U.S. Risks Losing Tech Race Without Energy Push

October 20, 2026 · 6:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Former officials from the Trump, Biden and Obama administrations are warning that the U.S. is at risk of losing a technological and industrial race with China—unless it adopts a sweeping energy-permitting bill,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“China has made energy infrastructure central to its industrial strategy. By contrast, the U.S. faces lengthy delays in building the transmission lines and energy components needed to power the development of semiconductors, critical minerals and artificial intelligence.”

Energy, Foreign Affairs

Zelensky to Meet Witkoff in Norway

October 20, 2026 · 6:42 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is set to meet with U.S. special envoys on Tuesday after President Donald Trump aimed a fresh spate of criticism at the wartime leader,” CNBC reports.

“Zelensky will arrive in Norway on Tuesday and meet with the country’s Prime Minister Jonas Gahr and President of Finland Alexander Stubb in Oslo later in the day. U.S. envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner will also take part in the discussions.”

Foreign Affairs, White House

Hegseth Meets with Netanyahu in Israel Ahead of Elections

October 20, 2026 · 5:09 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth quietly visited Israel on Monday and met with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,” CBS News reports.

Foreign Affairs

Trump Casts Zelensky as Obstacle to Peace

October 19, 2026 · 8:42 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s intensifying effort in the past few weeks to rehabilitate Russia and usher President Vladimir V. Putin back into diplomatic society is remarkable for its speed, its characterization of Mr. Zelensky as the primary obstacle to peace, and its brazen denial that Russia is continuing the war that Mr. Trump says he is trying to end,” the New York Times reports.

Said Trump: “Russia, frankly, has been fine on Ukraine. They haven’t been doing much.”

In contrast, he added: “We’ve given a lot to Ukraine. They’ve given nothing to us. Remember that.”

Foreign Affairs, White House

U.S. Holds Up Patriot Missiles for Ukraine

October 19, 2026 · 7:34 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“The Trump administration has not approved the transfer of interceptor missiles to Ukraine that are needed to protect the country from Russian missile and drone attacks, a delay that comes as President Donald Trump has embraced Russia and slammed Ukraine in recent weeks,” the Washington Post reports.

Foreign Affairs, White House

Trump Suggests Zelensky Sit Out Peace Talks

October 19, 2026 · 7:08 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump on Monday said he thought someone other than Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky ‌should negotiate on Kyiv’s behalf as it seeks to end the war with Russia,” Reuters reports.

Said Trump: “Maybe it’s time for Zelensky to ⁠get somebody else to negotiate.”

Foreign Affairs, White House

Trump Downplays Prospects for Meeting with Kim Jong Un

October 19, 2026 · 4:34 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump downplayed expectations for a November meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un amid speculation over renewed U.S. efforts to reach out to the reclusive regime in Pyongyang,” Bloomberg reports.

Said Trump: “I don’t know. I’m not sure that anybody’s asking for a meeting, but my relationship with Kim Jong Un is very good.”

Foreign Affairs, White House

Trump Says He’d Meet with Putin and Xi

October 19, 2026 · 3:48 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Donald Trump said Monday that he would meet with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Chinese President Xi Jinping to discuss how to end the Ukraine war, while criticizing Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky,” CNBC reports.

“Trump suggested that that meeting, which Putin reportedly proposed, could take place without Zelensky present.”

Bloomberg: Trump open to Putin, Xi summit but would focus on nuclear arms.

Foreign Affairs, White House

Merz Warns Europe Is Underestimating Russian Threat

October 19, 2026 · 2:08 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“German Chancellor Friedrich Merz warned against complacency over the dangers posed by Russia, saying that President Vladimir Putin is seeking to not only defeat Ukraine, but to also undermine democracy in Europe,” Bloomberg reports.

Said Merz: “My biggest concern is the underestimated Russian impact on our societies. Russia is on the way to destabilize the entire political order of our European continent.”

Foreign Affairs

Tehran Seeks to Punish Trump in Midterms

October 19, 2026 · 11:21 am ET · Leave a Comment

“For Iran’s leadership, the next few weeks are a critical window. Anticipating that President Donald Trump will be less sensitive to high energy prices after the midterm elections, Tehran is scrambling to inflict maximum pain now by escalating attacks in the Strait of Hormuz,” the Washington Post reports.

“Two Iranian officials said their government is focused on the Nov. 3 midterms and sees the window leading up to them as critical to exercising leverage over Trump..”

2026 Campaign, Energy, Foreign Affairs

How Israel Steered Qatari Payments to Gaza

October 19, 2026 · 11:19 am ET · Leave a Comment

Time: “As Israeli voters prepare for elections on Oct. 27, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has tried to defend and distance himself from one of his government’s most controversial policies: allowing Qatar to funnel nearly $2 billion into the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip for more than a decade.”

“Previously undisclosed documents obtained by TIME, including letters from senior Israeli security officials to Qatari leaders, reveal that Israel encouraged and played a direct role in a payment program that was more extensive than Netanyahu has publicly acknowledged.”

Foreign Affairs, Foreign Elections

Siding with Putin Is a Huge Mistake

October 19, 2026 · 10:31 am ET · Leave a Comment

The Atlantic: “President Trump’s inexplicable decision to waive some sanctions on Russia, announced late Friday, essentially gives a pass to the forces of evil in the Kremlin. The move effectively nullifies legislation that was named after the late Republican Senator Lindsey Graham, passed by huge bipartisan majorities in both the House and Senate, and signed by the president.”

“This decision is the latest in a long series that this administration has taken to appease or accommodate the Russians in misguided attempts to get them to negotiate. Russian President Vladimir Putin pockets these naive offerings and still refuses to talk.”

“Surveys show that most Americans stand with Ukraine as it defends itself against Russia, view Putin as a dangerous threat who shouldn’t be trusted, and want to see the United States offer more assistance to Ukraine.”

Foreign Affairs, White House

Trump Urges France to ‘Close the Borders’

October 19, 2026 · 9:40 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump urged France Monday morning to seal itself off from the rest of Europe following a weekend of rioting that led to at least 2,400 arrests and reduced the country’s major cities to a state of anarchy,” the New York Post reports.

Said Trump: “The migrants have taken over France.”

Foreign Affairs, Immigration, White House

Trump Hints at a Hostage Deal with Russia

October 19, 2026 · 9:36 am ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump, defending his decision to ease tariffs and other sanctions against Russia, said on Sunday that he was making ‘great progress’ in a peace deal with the Kremlin and suggested for the first time that the process included ‘hostage negotiations,'” the New York Times reports.

“He did not specify whose release he was seeking.”

MS NOW: Trump’s latest pro-Putin moves prompt bipartisan backlash and awkward questions.

Foreign Affairs, White House

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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