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Brazil’s Powerful Court Seeks to Avert Bolsonaro’s Wrath

October 19, 2026 · 12:52 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Brazil’s Supreme Court justices are making cautious overtures to a political force they thought they had contained, but whose growing power could soon put their own seats on the bench at risk,” Bloomberg reports.

“The prospect of Flávio Bolsonaro winning the presidency in next weekend’s runoff, along with enough Senate support to impeach top court members, has prompted some justices to seek a rapprochement with his camp, according to people familiar with the discussions. Recent judicial decisions and meetings have been interpreted as conciliatory gestures toward a political movement that has long regarded the tribunal as an adversary.”

Foreign Elections

How Israel Steered Qatari Payments to Gaza

October 19, 2026 · 11:19 am ET · Leave a Comment

Time: “As Israeli voters prepare for elections on Oct. 27, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has tried to defend and distance himself from one of his government’s most controversial policies: allowing Qatar to funnel nearly $2 billion into the Hamas-controlled Gaza Strip for more than a decade.”

“Previously undisclosed documents obtained by TIME, including letters from senior Israeli security officials to Qatari leaders, reveal that Israel encouraged and played a direct role in a payment program that was more extensive than Netanyahu has publicly acknowledged.”

Foreign Affairs, Foreign Elections

France’s Far Right Seizes the Moment

October 19, 2026 · 10:04 am ET · Leave a Comment

“After riots erupted this weekend in cities across France, its centrist government blamed the main far-left party, accusing its politicians of inciting the violence. That party blamed the government, accusing it of stirring public anger through years of bad governance and heavy-handed policing,” the New York Times reports.

“What did the main far-right party do? It blamed both, and launched into campaign mode.”

Said National Rally president Jordan Bardella: “We are paying for decades of being soft on crime, of weak authority, of the moral, psychological, and material disarmament of our internal security forces.”

Foreign Elections

Flávio Bolsonaro and Lula Tied in Runoff Poll

October 19, 2026 · 8:55 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Right-wing candidate Flávio Bolsonaro and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva are locked in a tie less than a week ahead of Brazil’s runoff election, according to a new poll,” Bloomberg reports.

“Bolsonaro would take 50.3% to Lula’s 49.7% of valid votes, excluding blank and null ballots, according to a BTG Pactual/Nexus survey published Monday.”

Foreign Elections

Trump Endorses Netanyahu Ahead of Re-Election Bid

October 18, 2026 · 12:24 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“President Trump on Sunday endorsed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for reelection, saying on social media that he ‘has been a Great Warrior Prime Minister, and an even greater Partner for Peace in combatting the Islamic Republic of Iran,'” CBS News reports.

“This is a coveted boost for Netanyahu because of Mr. Trump’s popularity in Israel but one that the U.S. leader withheld for months as their strategies in the Middle East diverged.”

Bloomberg: Israeli Arabs mobilize to oust Netanyahu in tightly fought vote.

Foreign Elections

Why Europe’s Right Is Breaking Up with MAGA

October 17, 2026 · 6:20 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Nationalist parties are notching election victories and leading in the polls across Europe. One recipe for their success: keeping their distance from Trump and his MAGA allies,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Leaders of Alternative for Germany, or AfD, which finished first in two recent regional elections, have scaled back their public interactions with MAGA figures, acknowledged differences of interest with the U.S. and focused their message on domestic issues.”

“In France, National Rally leader Marine Le Pen, who is polling in first ahead of next year’s election, has kept Trump and his allies out of her campaign after calling the Iran war a strategic mistake.”

Foreign Affairs, Foreign Elections

Alberta Separation Referendum Draws Huge Early Vote

October 16, 2026 · 3:50 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“More than 1 million people have already cast their ballots in Alberta’s referendum on separation from Canada, signaling strong voter turnout that pollsters say may favor the ‘remain’ side,” Bloomberg reports.

Foreign Elections

Flávio Bolsonaro Cleared by Court to Visit Father

October 12, 2026 · 10:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Brazil Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes has authorized Senator Flávio Bolsonaro to visit his father and former President Jair Bolsonaro who’s under house arrest less than two weeks before the presidential runoff,” Bloomberg reports.

“In a court decision published Monday, Moraes approved the resumption of visits, but noted that ‘political or electoral purposes are prohibited, as is the dissemination of any manifestos or statements, including by third parties, regardless of the medium used.'”

Foreign Elections

Hack Reveals Netanyahu Campaign’s Media Ties

October 11, 2026 · 9:38 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Hacked messages from an adviser to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are providing a glimpse of his aides’ close ties to the media,” Semafor reports.

“The incumbent prime minister’s reelection campaign has been repeatedly rocked by hacked and leaked documents, part of broad attempts to destabilize a wildly divisive leader both inside and outside his country ahead of Oct. 27 elections.”

Foreign Elections, Media Buzz

Andy Burnham Confirms Russia Interfered in Brexit Vote

October 11, 2026 · 7:16 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Andy Burnham has said UK authorities are ‘clear’ that there was Russian interference in the Brexit vote: this is the first time a prime minister has confirmed Kremlin involvement in the 2016 referendum,” The Observer reports.

“The prime minister, who is embarking on efforts to redraw the UK’s relationship with the European Union, said he ‘asked the question’ when he entered Downing Street this summer and was given ‘the clear answer that, yes, there was.'”

Foreign Elections

Le Pen Pushes Protege Aside to Assert Control

October 8, 2026 · 7:44 am ET · Leave a Comment

“The uncomfortable partnership between Marine Le Pen and her protege Jordan Bardella at the top of France’s largest political party is unraveling as the presidential campaign kicks into gear,” Bloomberg reports.

“Le Pen has reasserted her hold on the National Rally party her late father founded in 1972 since courts in July cleared her to run for the highest office. Differences over policy and style they brushed aside as she fought the fallout of an embezzlement conviction are increasingly emerging in public view.”

“The economic blueprint Le Pen announced Tuesday shows how the 31-year-old Bardella and his pro-business agenda have been shunted to the background behind Le Pen’s populist priorities.”

Foreign Elections

Italy Adopts Meloni’s Electoral Overhaul

October 8, 2026 · 6:56 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Italy will transform its electoral system after lawmakers approved reforms that Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni’s allies initially pushed to help her reelection odds next year,” Bloomberg reports.

“Italy’s lower house gave final sign-off to the bill on Thursday, capping a months-long process that revealed fractures in Meloni’s coalition. The reform package passed by a vote of 227-164.”

“The overhaul means Italy’s parliament seats will now be awarded proportionally, with bonus seats given to any coalition achieving more than 42% of the vote — an attempt to ensure governing stability. The bonus only applies if the same coalition or party crosses the threshold in both houses of parliament.”

Foreign Elections

Italy Weighs Giving Bonus Seats to Election Winners

October 8, 2026 · 5:45 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Italian lawmakers on Thursday prepared to vote on a controversial new law that would award bonus seats in Parliament to election winners, a move supporters say will help prevent governments from collapsing and detractors denounce as unconstitutional and antidemocratic,” the New York Times reports.

“Championed by Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, who has threatened to resign should it not pass, the new law would give a bonus to the winning party or coalition of an election: 70 seats in the lower house of Parliament and 35 in the Senate, provided the party or coalition reaches 42 percent in both houses.”

Foreign Elections

Netanyahu Faces Reckoning Over October 7 in Election

October 7, 2026 · 5:23 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Israel is marking the third anniversary of the Oct. 7 terror attacks three weeks before an election where Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s personal culpability for the country’s worst-ever security failure will be a central issue,” Axios reports.

“Netanyahu has never looked more politically vulnerable than in the weeks after Oct. 7, but he has defied expectations by keeping his government afloat — presiding over simultaneous wars and an atmosphere of perpetual emergency. Though the polls are tight, they leave a clear path for the ultimate political survivor to hang on yet again.”

Washington Sun: Israel may have been warned about Oct. 7. Biden officials say the U.S. wasn’t.

Foreign Elections

French Government Is Willing to Bypass Parliament

October 6, 2026 · 10:13 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“France’s finance minister said the government is prepared to exercise special constitutional powers and circumvent Parliament to pass billions in spending cuts if negotiations stall over next year’s budget,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

Foreign Elections

New Quebec Premier Seeks to Defy Polls

October 6, 2026 · 4:34 pm ET · Leave a Comment

“Quebec’s new leader, Paul St-Pierre Plamondon, says he won’t back down on his pledge to hold an independence referendum by 2030, despite polling that suggests most Quebecers aren’t on board,” Bloomberg reports.

“With about 70% of residents opposed to breaking away from Canada, the promise of a referendum is drawing little enthusiasm and likely cost the Parti Québécois some seats in Monday’s election, depriving it of a majority in the French-speaking province’s legislature.”

Foreign Elections

Hungary to Impose Wealth Tax On Billionaires

October 6, 2026 · 11:06 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Hungary will impose a wealth tax from next year, Prime Minister Peter Magyar said, fulfilling a election pledge to make the rich shoulder a larger share of public obligations,” Bloomberg reports.

Foreign Elections

Why Brazil’s Markets Rallied

October 6, 2026 · 8:39 am ET · Leave a Comment

“Global investors did not expect Flávio Bolsonaro to convincingly top the first round of Brazil’s presidential election, but now their expectations are running high that Latin America’s largest economy could soon be transformed,” Axios reports.

“Should the right-wing candidate win the run-off on Oct. 25, nearly all of South America would become aligned with the Trump administration on trade, national security and other issues.”

Washington Post: Trump kept silent in Brazil’s election. It might have helped his ally.

Foreign Affairs, Foreign Elections

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Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire -- which for more than two decades has been one of the nation's most influential political news sites.

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