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Can Marco Rubio Even Win a Primary?

December 5, 2015 at 11:54 am ET By Taegan Goddard 5 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

Marco Rubio has become the establishment’s choice in the Republican presidential primary, but as Ed Kilgore notes, “At some point, you have to start winning caucuses and primaries to win the nomination. And it’s hard to identify right now where Rubio is supposed to claim his first victory.”

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Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Members

Why Donald Trump Isn’t Like Howard Dean

December 4, 2015 at 11:40 am ET By Taegan Goddard 5 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

The comparison between Donald Trump and Howard Dean is an enticing one for Republicans who desperately don’t want the billionaire businessman as their presidential nominee in 2016.

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Filed Under: 2004 Campaign, 2016 Campaign, Members

Can the GOP Establishment Pick One Candidate?

December 3, 2015 at 12:24 pm ET By Taegan Goddard 4 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

A new Public Policy Polling survey in New Hampshire highlights the problem the Republican establishment faces right now: Donald Trump leads with 27%, followed by Ted Cruz at 13%, Ben Carson at 9% and five establishment candidates splitting 40% of the vote.

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Filed Under: Members

Have Political TV Ads Finally Lost Their Effectiveness?

December 1, 2015 at 8:21 pm ET By Taegan Goddard 5 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

NBC News reported a stunning statistic today from the presidential race: Three establishment candidates — Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and John Kasich — have spent, in conjunction with their super PACs, nearly $50 million in television ads this year. In contrast, the outsider candidates — Donald Trump, Ben Carson and Ted Cruz — have spent less than $3 million.

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Filed Under: Members

A Turning Point for American Politics?

December 1, 2015 at 12:13 pm ET By Taegan Goddard 19 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

“If a nation expects to be ignorant and free in a state of civilization, it expects what never was and never will be. An informed citizenry is at the heart of a dynamic democracy.”

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Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Members Tagged With: Donald Trump

Are the Polls Exaggerating Trump’s Lead?

November 28, 2015 at 11:59 pm ET By Taegan Goddard 8 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members. Thank you so much for your support!

With Donald Trump leading the Republican presidential race for more than four months now, some are starting to question whether the polls actually have it right. We heard similar arguments in 2012 when some Mitt Romney supporters attempted to “unskew” polls that showed President Obama leading. We know how that turned out, but still it’s worth a look.

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Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Members Tagged With: Donald Trump

Why the GOP Race May Hinge on Ted Cruz

November 27, 2015 at 1:20 pm ET By Taegan Goddard 6 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members. Thank you so much for your support!

Four years ago at this time, after flirtations with several non-traditional presidential candidates, Republican voters began to consolidate around Mitt Romney, the establishment candidate and eventual nominee. This wasn’t that much of a surprise because in GOP politics the establishment candidate usually prevails by the time the convention comes around.

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Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Members

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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