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Trump’s Push for a Special Master Backfires

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Judge Raymond Dearie, the “special master” appointed to review the documents seized by the FBI at Mar-a-Lago, asked Donald Trump’s legal team yesterday to “disclose details about any materials he claims to have declassified before calling them his property,” Politico reports.

Former prosecutor Andrew Weissmann explains why this is a problem for Trump:

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The GOP’s Abortion Problem Is Real and Big

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The new New York Times/Siena poll finds 62% of registered voters oppose the Supreme Court’s decision overturning Roe v. Wade, while 30% support it. Similarly, it finds that 62% of voters favor keeping abortion legal, versus only 31% who think it should be illegal.

But drilling down, it’s the intensity of this opposition that should really worry Republicans.

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A Few Thoughts for the End of the Week

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Running Political Wire is a dream job. In fact, on most days, it doesn’t even seem like a job because I enjoy nearly everything about it.

But in an alternate reality I think I could have become a tech reviewer.

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Why This Will Likely Be a Very Close Midterm Election

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Conventional wisdom suggest that if the 2022 midterm election is about inflation and crime, that helps the Republicans.

But if it’s about abortion rights and the threat to American, that helps the Democrats.  

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Republicans Double-Down on Banning Abortion

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Before the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade in late June, conservatives insisted that abortion should be an issue left to the states.

Here’s what Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) said in May, just weeks before the decision:

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What’s Old Is New Again

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The Verge — which is one of my favorite technology sites — announced a major redesign this morning along with a new editorial strategy.

Previously, the site leveraged social media platforms for distribution of their work, putting them at the mercy of algorithmic newsfeeds and the ridiculous tricks you need to make your story attractive to those readers. 

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2022 Election Preview

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Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

This issue includes updates on the most important House and Senate races.

While the national narrative is about the evaporation of the “Red Wave” and Democrats on the march, the individual House race data is still showing a good GOP year. So it might be at least a couple more weeks before there’s clarity. 

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An Affront to the Rule of Law

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Monday’s ruling by U.S. District Judge Aileen Cannon that an independent master should be appointed to review documents seized by the FBI at Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago home was roundly criticized from lawyers across the political spectrum — from Neil Katyal to Bill Barr.

The decision’s flaws are obvious to anyone. 

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A Few Thoughts for the End of the Week

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The day after the 1994 midterm elections, Hugo Young — the lead political columnist of The Guardian and my wife’s stepfather — asked me how I felt about Newt Gingrich being swept into power as the first Republican Speaker of the House in more than 40 years.

I said the first thing that came to my mind: “I feel sick to my stomach.”

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What You Think Is Driving the Shift in Political Climate

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When asked what factors are driving the shift in the political climate over the last few months, Political Wire members overwhelmingly believe it’s the Supreme Court’s decision to overturn Roe v. Wade earlier this summer.

In fact, it wasn’t even close.

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What’s Driving the Shift in Political Climate?

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Recent polls and special election results reflect a major shift in the political climate ahead of the November midterm elections in the Democrats’ favor.

But how would you rank the factors driving this shift?

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What Does Trump Mean That He Be Declared President?

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Donald Trump used his social network yesterday to demand that he be declared winner of the 2020 presidential election and be reinstated as president — or that we re-do the election immediately.

It’s often impossible to take his social media rantings seriously, but let’s try anyway.

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2022 House Overview

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Just for members: The latest edition of Inside Elections.

This issue is packed with updates in the House, Senate, and state legislatures. The edition is a House Overview, which includes updates on close to 100 races nationwide, rating changes in 19 races, and a look at why Democratic prospects appear to be improving.

The edition also includes rating changes in the Pennsylvania and Ohio Senate races and fresh analysis as to why Republicans no longer have a clear advantage in the fight for the majority. And then there’s also a state legislative update with ratings for control of each chamber.

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More Signs of a Red Ripple

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Take a look at these Arizona swing districts:

  • An internal poll shows Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ) in a dead heat with challenger Jevin Hodge (D), 47% to 47%.
  • An internal poll shows Kirsten Engel (D) just ahead of Juan Ciscomani (R) in the district being vacated by Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick (D-AZ), 49% to 47%.

Both districts have a similar partisan lean as New York’s 19th congressional district which Pat Ryan (D) won earlier this week.

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Trump Digs Himself a Deeper Hole

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Yesterday, conservative journalist John Solomon published a May 10th letter from the National Archives to one of former President Donald Trump’s lawyers.

Debra Steidel Wall, the acting archivist of the United States, was responding to Trump’s request that the National Archives withhold from the FBI the records that had been recovered earlier this year from Mar-a-Lago.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Follow me on Twitter, Mastodon and Post.News.

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