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Bonus Quote of the Day

June 14, 2016 at 12:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 35 Comments

“We were getting to be kind of pansies in politics. People used to shoot each other on the Senate floor, you know.”

— Jeff Roe, former strategist for Sen. Ted Cruz’s (R-TX) presidential campaign, quoted by the Huffington Post.

Filed Under: Political History Tagged With: Jeff Roe

How an Outsider President Killed a Political Party

June 5, 2016 at 9:37 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

Politico: “Many have called Donald Trump’s unexpected takeover of a major political party unprecedented; but it’s not. A similar scenario unfolded in 1848, when General Zachary Taylor, a roughhewn career soldier who had never even voted in a presidential election, conquered the Whig Party.”

“A look back at what happened that year is eye-opening—and offers warnings for those on both sides of the aisle. Democrats quick to dismiss Trump should beware: Taylor parlayed his outsider appeal to defeat Lewis Cass, an experienced former Cabinet secretary and senator. But Republicans should beware, too: Taylor is often ranked as one of the worst presidents in U.S. history—and, more seriously, the Whig Party never recovered from his victory. In fact, just a few years after Taylor was elected under the Whig banner, the party dissolved—undermined by the divisions that caused Taylor’s nomination in the first place, and also by the loss of faith that followed it.”

Filed Under: Political History Tagged With: Zachary Taylor

When Was America Great?

June 4, 2016 at 5:50 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 179 Comments

Donald Trump tells the New York Times:

No if you really look at it, it was the turn of the century, that’s when we were a great, when we were really starting to go robust. But if you look back, it really was, there was a period of time when we were developing at the turn of the century which was a pretty wild time for this country and pretty wild in terms of building that machine, that machine was really based on entrepreneurship etc, etc. And then I would say, yeah, prior to, I would say during the 1940s and the late ‘40s and ‘50s we started getting, we were not pushed around, we were respected by everybody, we had just won a war, we were pretty much doing what we had to do, yeah around that period.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Political History Tagged With: Donald Trump


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Obama Visits Hiroshima

May 27, 2016 at 6:05 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 33 Comments

“President Obama made history Friday by becoming the first sitting U.S. head of state to visit Hiroshima since American forces dropped an atomic bomb on the city in 1945, killing an estimated 80,000 people and hastening the end of World War II,” USA Today reports.

Filed Under: Foreign Affairs, Political History

How 1968 Changed American Politics

May 17, 2016 at 3:40 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

This guest piece from Michael Cohan, author of American Maelstrom, is only available to Political Wire members.

517+sH1n1cL._SX329_BO1,204,203,200_In 2004, as John Kerry was preparing to face off against President George W. Bush in that year’s presidential election, a senior White House political advisor spoke off the record to the Wall Street Journal about on the challenges facing Kerry, particularly those related to the war in Iraq.

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Filed Under: Members, Political Books, Political History

Democrats Prefer Senators as Running Mates

April 29, 2016 at 1:00 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 58 Comments

Joshua Spivak: “Since 1940, every Democratic vice presidential nominee except two very notable exceptions has been a sitting U.S. Senator. From Harry Truman to Joe Biden, 13 of the last 15 choices have been taken directly from the Senate. Those two exceptions both stand out — U.S. Rep. Geraldine Ferraro in 1984 – who was taken from the House — and Sargent Shriver in 1972. The selection of Shriver deserves a huge asterisk itself. Shriver was George McGovern’s second, desperate choice after Senator Thomas Eagleton was picked and then forced to decline the nomination due to revelations about his having received electro-shock therapy treatments. The 1972 and 1984 elections were also noteworthy for a separate reason – those elections represent the two largest Democratic defeats in history.”

“Even before 1940, Democrats followed a very predictable pattern of selection, staying with House, Senate or cabinet members in Washington for their picks. The party has not chosen a sitting governor as a VP candidate since the 103rd ballot fiasco of 1924 — Nebraska’s Charles Bryan was tapped that year.”

Filed Under: Political History

Hamilton Will Remain on $10 Bill

April 18, 2016 at 8:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 65 Comments

“Treasury Secretary Jack Lew is expected to announce this week that Alexander Hamilton’s face will remain on the front of the $10 bill and a woman will replace Andrew Jackson on the face of the $20 bill,” a senior government source told CNN.

Filed Under: Financial Markets, Political History

Contested Conventions Not Kind to Delegate Leader

March 30, 2016 at 6:24 am EDT By Taegan Goddard 4 Comments

Washington Post: “We looked up every convention in which no one had a majority on the first vote since 1872. And in the majority of those, the person who had the most votes on the first ballot did not end up as the party’s nominee.”

For members: The Most Memorable Contested Conventions

Filed Under: Political History

The Most Memorable Contested Conventions

March 29, 2016 at 6:04 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard 2 Comments

This piece is only available to Political Wire members.

There hasn’t been a contested or brokered convention in either party since 1976 but it’s increasingly likely there will be one on the Republican side this year. Only Donald Trump seems to have a chance at reaching the 1,238 delegates he needs by the end of the primaries, but there is a concerted effort by Ted Cruz, John Kasich and party leaders to stop him. It’s not event clear that if he technically wins a majority that his delegates will stick with him.

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Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Members, Political History

History Suggests Trump Can’t Be Stopped

February 22, 2016 at 7:11 am EST By Taegan Goddard 20 Comments

Jeff Greenfield: “There are any number of primary campaigns that saw a significant shift of fortunes, but they provide cold comfort for the anti-Trumpeteers. Why? Because 1) they happened a relatively long time ago, 2) they all happened in two-candidate races and 3) none of them resulted in a victory for the come-from behind candidate.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Political History Tagged With: Donald Trump

Boehner Wanted Scalia as Dole’s Running Mate

February 16, 2016 at 6:14 am EST By Taegan Goddard 11 Comments

John Boehner: “Twenty years ago, while serving as chairman of the U.S. House Republican Conference, I tried to persuade Scalia to become Senator Bob Dole’s running mate on the 1996 GOP presidential ticket. And out of a sense of duty, he listened.”

Filed Under: Political History

Trump Would Be the Most Unpopular Candidate Ever

January 30, 2016 at 5:28 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 42 Comments

Gallup finds that Donald Trump, with an unfavorable rating of 60%, would be the most unpopular candidate to be nominated from either of the two major parties going back to the 1992 election.

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Political History Tagged With: Donald Trump

Charles Koch Started Plotting 40 Years Ago

January 19, 2016 at 8:52 am EST By Taegan Goddard 9 Comments

Politico: “In a recent round of interviews, Charles Koch, the billionaire industrialist and political patron, has been stressing that he only recently became involved in politics… But according to what appear to be two never-before-seen documents — a paper Charles wrote in 1976 and an unpublished history of Charles’ political evolution — Charles began planning his ambitious remaking of American politics 40 years ago, transitioning from libertarian ideologue to conservative power broker.”

“For his new movement, which aimed to empower ultraconservatives like himself and radically change the way the U.S. government worked, he analyzed and then copied what he saw as the strengths of the John Birch Society, the extreme, right-wing anti-communist group to which he, his brother David and their father, Fred Koch, had belonged. Charles Koch might claim that his entry into politics is new, but from its secrecy to its methods of courting donors and recruiting students, the blueprint for the vast and powerful Koch donor network that we see today was drafted four decades ago.”

Filed Under: Political History Tagged With: Charles Koch

Trump Says He’s Bigger Than Reagan

January 14, 2016 at 8:10 am EST By Taegan Goddard 48 Comments

Donald Trump told Bloomberg that he’s building a movement bigger than that of former President Ronald Reagan.

Said Trump: “I think that the closest thing I can think of is Reagan, but I don’t think it’s the intensity that we have. Now, Reagan had a little bit of this, but I don’t think to the same extent—but he also won.”

He added: “It’s not just like, ‘Gee. It’s a little political rally and people are showing up to have fun.’ These people are committed.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Political History Tagged With: Donald Trump, Ronald Reagan

A Century of Political Spin

January 9, 2016 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

David Greenberg: “We gripe about the suffocating presence of ‘spin’: the policies tested by pollsters and focus groups, the slogans and laugh lines penned by speechwriters, the staged photo ops and town-hall meetings… But the spin that we find so pervasive today is nothing new. It actually goes back more than a century. In fact, all those revered past presidents were pioneers in honing the modern methods of image-making and message-craft that we now so often denounce.”

“Since Theodore Roosevelt’s day, when candidates began campaigning for votes and presidents started regularly courting the public, politicians have been refining the tools and techniques of what we now call spin. Spin turns out to be woven into the fabric of American politics, and though it is hardly an unmixed good, it is inseparable from many of the signature achievements of our greatest leaders.”

Filed Under: Political History

Governors Don’t Fare Well After Losing White House Bids

January 5, 2016 at 11:40 am EST By Taegan Goddard 3 Comments

Governing: “If you run for president, make sure you win… In recent decades, just two sitting governors have won the presidency: Bill Clinton and George W. Bush. But the list of sitting governors who have either lost or dropped out of a race for president is much lengthier. In most cases, these candidates’ gubernatorial careers suffered after they lost their bid. It’s happened to Democratic and Republican governors alike.”

Filed Under: 2016 Campaign, Political History

A Visual History of Red and Blue

December 28, 2015 at 11:39 am EST By Taegan Goddard 23 Comments

Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball presents 48 maps electoral maps from 1824 to 2012.

“Throughout American history, electoral coalitions have been born with fanfare. Then they age and die just like their founders, replaced by some other temporary alignment. Some majorities are flash-in-the-pan but others, like the New Deal coalition, survive for decades, deteriorating only gradually. It will be interesting to see whether the newest in the long line, the Obama majority, continues, dies, or goes into hibernation next year.”

Filed Under: Political History

Being President Can Shorten Your Life

December 14, 2015 at 9:23 pm EST By Taegan Goddard 25 Comments

New York Times: “Now, the largest statistical study of its kind, examining elections held in 17 countries from 1722 to 2015, has found that elected heads of government lived 2.7 fewer years and experienced a 23 percent greater risk of premature death than the defeated office seekers.”

“The analysis tested the hypothesis that elected presidents, prime ministers and chancellors experience accelerated aging and premature death because of the stresses of political life. The authors compared 279 elected heads of government with the 261 runners-up whom they defeated and who never served as heads of state. The researchers determined the number of years each competitor lived after the last election in which they ran, and compared the findings with the average life span for an individual of the same age and sex in each candidate’s country during the election year.”

Filed Under: Political History

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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