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Republicans Show Signs of Independence from Trump

December 2, 2025 at 9:15 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republicans are showing signs of picking their battles against President Trump, with the administration’s handling of military strikes on alleged drug boats in the Caribbean serving as the latest catalyst,” NewsNation reports.

“Republicans in Congress have been exceedingly deferential to the White House for much of Trump’s first year back in office, but lawmakers have shown an increased willingness to speak out about their concerns with the administration, particularly when it comes to foreign policy.”

Filed Under: Republicans

MAGA Hunts for Unity Amid Widening Civil War

November 29, 2025 at 12:00 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“MAGA entered the year at the apex of its power, but has become mired in its most bitter infighting since its founding by President Trump in 2015,” Axios reports.

“If the base can unite during the holidays against its perceived enemies — Democratic lawmakers branded ‘the seditious six,’ former FBI Director James Comey, the media — it might help the right turn a painful page.”

“If not, the turmoil could become a systemic problem that plagues MAGA through the midterms.”

Politico: How Trump’s base could break.

Filed Under: Republicans

The Emerging MAGA Fractures

November 28, 2025 at 1:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Politico Poll: “More than half of Trump’s voters last year — 55% — describe themselves as MAGA, but a critical 38% do not, according to the survey.”

“And it’s here where the fissures start to emerge: Among those self-described MAGA voters, 47% say the current economy still belongs fully to Biden, compared to just 26% of non-MAGA Trump 2024 voters.”

“This divide becomes even starker on areas Republicans typically don’t own, like health care, where the White House is struggling to forge a path to extend expiring Affordable Care Act subsidies: 85% of MAGA Trump voters trust Republicans more to bring down health care costs, whereas just 55 percent of non-MAGA do — with 19% instead trusting Democrats and 27% saying they don’t know.”

Filed Under: Republicans

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Tucker Carlson Hates Republicans

November 25, 2025 at 12:01 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tucker Carlson leveled a scorched earth attack on the Republican Party on The Shawn Ryan Show and went so far as to declare: “I’m going to have to oppose it because I hate them too much.”

He added: “That is the argument right now. Does the Republican Party exist to help its voters? Does every voter actually, every citizen, or does it exist for some other boutique corrupt reason, like serving a foreign government, serving your donors?”

Filed Under: Republicans

Why Republicans Are Fighting About the Nazis

November 23, 2025 at 7:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For years, Jewish Republicans often denied that the right had a serious problem with antisemitism, pointing instead to anti-Jewish bigotry on the left and celebrating President Trump’s support for Israel,” the New York Times reports.

“But now that problem is staring them directly in the face.”

“Tensions over antisemitism in the party, free speech and Israel have burst to the forefront of G.O.P. politics, and show signs of becoming a fierce point of contention in 2026 primary races and beyond.”

Filed Under: Republicans

GOP Realizes That Trump Won’t Be Around Forever

November 21, 2025 at 12:10 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Idrees Kahloon: “The reality that Donald Trump’s presidency will end in January 2029 is already making Republicans restless. Normally, Trump angers, exhausts, and eventually prevails over elected Republicans—not vice versa. Just this week, though, rebellious Republicans forced the release of the so-called Epstein files in defiance of Trump, who had spent months trying to suppress them before abruptly reversing course.”

“Plenty of other cracks are showing too: Staunch allies of the president are mouthing critiques that would have been unfathomable a year ago. These disputes are the prelude to an ugly battle over the post-Trump Republican Party.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Trump-Marjorie Taylor Greene Breakup Shakes MAGA

November 20, 2025 at 5:58 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “Greene’s split with Trump, which unfolded over issues ranging from foreign workers to the push to release government files on convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, is testing the president’s command of the ‘America First’ movement he mobilized.”

“Trump recently called Greene a ‘traitor,’ withdrew his endorsement of her reelection and encouraged a primary challenge in 2026. But many Republican leaders and voters in Greene’s deep-red district say they are sticking with her, boosting her bid to carve out a populist MAGA brand independent of the president.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Divided Side Almost Always Loses

November 19, 2025 at 10:13 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Republican lawmakers appear to have finally absorbed a basic political reality: Donald Trump will never be on a ballot again.

And once that sunk in, everything else followed.

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Filed Under: Members, Republicans, White House

The MAGA Crackup Might Finally Be Here

November 18, 2025 at 12:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Michelle Goldberg: “The last wretched decade shows that reports of a MAGA crackup ought to be viewed somewhat skeptically. There have, after all, been many moments when Trump seemed to be losing his grip on the right, only for his hold to grow stronger.”

“But a few things are different now. In his first term, Trump inherited a good economy from Barack Obama, and the establishment Republicans who surrounded him prevented him from tanking it with major trade wars or mass deportations. Much of Trump’s base distrusted these figures, seeing them as part of a deep state cabal trying to thwart his populist agenda. But they shielded the country from at least part of the price of Trump’s erraticism.”

“This time, however, Trump came into office with a much shakier economy, and, unrestrained by Washington technocrats, has proceeded to make it worse, putting the country in a sour mood.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Trump Faces a Splintering GOP

November 18, 2025 at 6:48 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For nearly 10 months this year, President Donald Trump’s every wish was the command of Republicans in Washington as he oversaw a furious reshaping of the federal government and beyond. Few, if any, in his party dared to say ‘no,’” the Washington Post reports.

“But the president now finds himself in a weakened position: polls show his lowest approval ratings since returning to office; some in his political base are calling for more to be done to ease a continued affordability crisis; and now, House Republicans have dared to buck his directives on an issue that advisers say has exasperated him.”

For members: Trump Only Gets Weaker From Here

Filed Under: Republicans, White House

The Trump Era Is One of GOP Decline

November 17, 2025 at 11:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Tim Carney: “Here’s one measure of the partisan shift in the Trump era: In 2016, Republicans controlled 31 governorships and 68 legislative chambers. Come January, the GOP will control only 26 governorships and 57 legislative chambers (more than a 15% reduction on both scores).”

“In the Trump era, here’s the rule: Elections in which Trump is on the ballot, the GOP does fine. In elections in which he is not, the GOP does poorly…”

“This is a big problem for Republicans because Trump will never be on a ballot nationwide again. It’s very possible that after Trump is gone, Republicans will experience their darkest hour and lowest point since the New Deal.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Nick Fuentes Spiral

November 17, 2025 at 11:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Ali Breland: “Republicans are so at odds about how to handle Fuentes’s encroachment into their ranks that many commentators have likened their infighting to a civil war and posed it as a battle for the soul of the conservative movement. The critics of the Groypers themselves tend to downplay the scale of the conflict. They have suggested that the deeply bigoted factions of the right are a vocal but tiny minority that can be excised.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Fault Lines Facing Both Parties

November 12, 2025 at 6:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “With the off-year elections out of the way and a seismic government shutdown due to end tonight, we’re about to enter a new phase of the political cycle. And this one is being characterized by a rare phenomenon — the sight of both parties in states of division.”

“This is highly unusual. Typically, if one side is out on the fringes and beset by political infighting, the other looks strong and united — at least at surface level. But not today. Both parties are experiencing major ructions across their activist bases that have serious implications for their future directions, and ultimately for the direction of America.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

The Fracture Is Coming

November 11, 2025 at 1:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Chuck Todd: “For now, it looks like Democrats are the divided party. Their debates are loud, public, and occasionally messy — but they’re mostly tactical. The fights are about how to win, or how to confront Trump — not what they believe, and certainly not whether to confront him. Tactical splits heal quickly when a party is united in opposition. And being in the minority tends to concentrate the mind.”

“So while the ‘Democrats in disarray’ storyline is getting more attention this week, it isn’t fractious enough to derail the party’s midterm strategy. The big ideological debate about the future of the party won’t happen until the 2027–28 Democratic presidential primaries.”

“Republicans, by contrast, are living inside a cult of personality. Their unity isn’t ideological or tactical. It’s gravitational — held together by one man. And the problem with cults of personality is that when the personality loses touch with reality, the whole structure begins to wobble.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Republicans Are Damaged by Their Own Cruelty

November 11, 2025 at 8:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “Like almost all progressives, I was infuriated and disheartened by Senate Democrats’ cave on the shutdown Sunday. The party won stunning election victories Tuesday — and its leaders responded with yet another preemptive surrender? (Chuck Schumer may have voted no, but he didn’t manage, and may not even have tried, to prevent defections.)”

“Yet while the immediate politics displayed Democratic tactical weakness, the larger story highlighted a different kind of weakness on the part of Donald Trump and MAGA as a whole — namely, their innate cruelty. They have a visceral dislike for policies that do anything to help the less fortunate, and can’t even bring themselves to be cynical, to help Americans temporarily while they consolidate power.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Trump ‘Realignment’ Is Over Already

November 7, 2025 at 8:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “It is clear now that claims of a fundamental realignment of American politics have been highly exaggerated. The 2024 election is best seen as an anti-incumbent election stemming from economic anxiety, most but not entirely driven by rising inflation during Joe Biden’s presidency.”

“The elections held this week were a continuation of the anti-incumbent sentiment from last year — this time directed toward the new party in charge. The biggest difference between 2024 and 2025 is that Republicans are running the country now, instead of the Democrats.”

“But for the realignment theorists, it’s actually worse than it looks. From 2024 to 2025 Republicans lost the most support — 25 points, on average — among the very voters they theorized would remake the GOP into a vast, multi-racial, working-class coalition.”

Filed Under: Republicans, White House

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 6, 2025 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sometimes, it’s good to touch the hot stove.”

— A Trump adviser, quoted by Axios, arguing that Republicans across the board need to wake up to political reality.

Filed Under: Republicans

The GOP Civil War Over Nick Fuentes Has Just Begun

November 4, 2025 at 12:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wired: “Nick Fuentes, a white nationalist known for his deeply antisemitic, racist, and misogynist worldview, just might be tearing the Republican party apart.”

“The schism was triggered last Tuesday when former Fox News host Tucker Carlson released an in-depth interview with Fuentes, the leader of the so-called America First movement who has denied the Holocaust, praised Hitler, and shared deeply misogynistic views.”

Filed Under: Republicans

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Government Relations: “Government relations” refers to the specialized practice of influencing public policy and decision-making processes within legislative bodies, executive agencies, and other governmental institutions.

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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