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The Fault Lines Facing Both Parties

November 12, 2025 at 6:16 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Playbook: “With the off-year elections out of the way and a seismic government shutdown due to end tonight, we’re about to enter a new phase of the political cycle. And this one is being characterized by a rare phenomenon — the sight of both parties in states of division.”

“This is highly unusual. Typically, if one side is out on the fringes and beset by political infighting, the other looks strong and united — at least at surface level. But not today. Both parties are experiencing major ructions across their activist bases that have serious implications for their future directions, and ultimately for the direction of America.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

The Fracture Is Coming

November 11, 2025 at 1:49 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Chuck Todd: “For now, it looks like Democrats are the divided party. Their debates are loud, public, and occasionally messy — but they’re mostly tactical. The fights are about how to win, or how to confront Trump — not what they believe, and certainly not whether to confront him. Tactical splits heal quickly when a party is united in opposition. And being in the minority tends to concentrate the mind.”

“So while the ‘Democrats in disarray’ storyline is getting more attention this week, it isn’t fractious enough to derail the party’s midterm strategy. The big ideological debate about the future of the party won’t happen until the 2027–28 Democratic presidential primaries.”

“Republicans, by contrast, are living inside a cult of personality. Their unity isn’t ideological or tactical. It’s gravitational — held together by one man. And the problem with cults of personality is that when the personality loses touch with reality, the whole structure begins to wobble.”

Filed Under: Democrats, Republicans

Republicans Are Damaged by Their Own Cruelty

November 11, 2025 at 8:49 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Paul Krugman: “Like almost all progressives, I was infuriated and disheartened by Senate Democrats’ cave on the shutdown Sunday. The party won stunning election victories Tuesday — and its leaders responded with yet another preemptive surrender? (Chuck Schumer may have voted no, but he didn’t manage, and may not even have tried, to prevent defections.)”

“Yet while the immediate politics displayed Democratic tactical weakness, the larger story highlighted a different kind of weakness on the part of Donald Trump and MAGA as a whole — namely, their innate cruelty. They have a visceral dislike for policies that do anything to help the less fortunate, and can’t even bring themselves to be cynical, to help Americans temporarily while they consolidate power.”

Filed Under: Republicans

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The Trump ‘Realignment’ Is Over Already

November 7, 2025 at 8:07 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

G. Elliot Morris: “It is clear now that claims of a fundamental realignment of American politics have been highly exaggerated. The 2024 election is best seen as an anti-incumbent election stemming from economic anxiety, most but not entirely driven by rising inflation during Joe Biden’s presidency.”

“The elections held this week were a continuation of the anti-incumbent sentiment from last year — this time directed toward the new party in charge. The biggest difference between 2024 and 2025 is that Republicans are running the country now, instead of the Democrats.”

“But for the realignment theorists, it’s actually worse than it looks. From 2024 to 2025 Republicans lost the most support — 25 points, on average — among the very voters they theorized would remake the GOP into a vast, multi-racial, working-class coalition.”

Filed Under: Republicans, White House

Bonus Quote of the Day

November 6, 2025 at 9:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Sometimes, it’s good to touch the hot stove.”

— A Trump adviser, quoted by Axios, arguing that Republicans across the board need to wake up to political reality.

Filed Under: Republicans

The GOP Civil War Over Nick Fuentes Has Just Begun

November 4, 2025 at 12:30 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Wired: “Nick Fuentes, a white nationalist known for his deeply antisemitic, racist, and misogynist worldview, just might be tearing the Republican party apart.”

“The schism was triggered last Tuesday when former Fox News host Tucker Carlson released an in-depth interview with Fuentes, the leader of the so-called America First movement who has denied the Holocaust, praised Hitler, and shared deeply misogynistic views.”

Filed Under: Republicans

The Network Shaping MAGA’s Post Trump Future

November 4, 2025 at 8:24 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “In 2019, a small group of right-wing donors rented a resort outside the 100-person town of Rockbridge, Ohio, for a summit to secure the future of the MAGA movement. They aimed to turn a singular candidate — President Donald Trump — into an enduring political coalition, with a pipeline of voters, donors and candidates that would cement a radical transformation of the GOP.”

“Convened by Silicon Valley billionaire Peter Thiel and JD Vance, then an investor who had written a best-selling memoir, the meeting included hedge fund heiress Rebekah Mercer, then-Fox News host Tucker Carlson and economist Oren Cass.”

Filed Under: Republicans

GOP Figures Seek Distance From Tucker Carlson

November 3, 2025 at 10:46 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Republican lawmakers and influencers continued on Monday to distance themselves from Tucker Carlson after his sympathetic interview with the prominent white supremacist Nick Fuentes, putting on display a widening split on the right about how to address antisemitism within their party,” the New York Times reports.

“The fallout included at least one resignation, as a key aide to the head of a prominent right-wing think tank stepped down after backing his boss’s vigorous defense of Mr. Carlson.”

Filed Under: Republicans

A New GOP Civil War Takes Hold

November 3, 2025 at 2:03 pm EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“As Rep. Randy Fine (R-FL) was laying into Tucker Carlson during a speech to fellow Jewish Republicans on Saturday, a group of students stood in front of the stage holding signs that read ‘TUCKER IS NOT MAGA.'” Punchbowl News reports.

“With the crowd cheering him on at the annual Republican Jewish Coalition summit, Fine called Carlson ‘the most dangerous antisemite in America’ and accused him of leading a ‘modern-day Hitler Youth.'”

“Fine is seen as a provocateur on Capitol Hill, often using incendiary rhetoric on a range of topics, including Gaza. But Fine was channeling the sentiments of an overwhelming majority of Hill Republicans after the Heritage Foundation stood by Carlson following his friendly interview with white nationalist and antisemite Nick Fuentes.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Once Mighty Tea Party Hard to Find in Trump’s GOP

November 2, 2025 at 7:00 am EST By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“The movement tore across the country with an energy new to American politics — its activists shouting at lawmakers and holding frenzied rallies to demand balanced budgets, an end to deficit spending, sharp tax cuts, fealty to the Constitution and a reined-in presidency,” the Washington Post reports.

“This was the tea party movement, which punctuated its arrival 15 years ago with the election of 2010, a moment that seemed poised to rewrite the rules of American politics. Yet just a few years later, the Republican Party was captured by the MAGA movement and President Donald Trump, whose agenda, to some tea party pioneers, is the opposite of theirs and which dominates the party today.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Trump Considers Las Vegas for Rare Midterm Convention

October 29, 2025 at 5:31 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“President Trump’s advisers are considering Las Vegas as the location for the GOP’s midterm political convention next year, as Republicans seek to preserve their narrow majority in Congress,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

“Trump has told aides that the convention will be a forum to highlight Republican congressional candidates and incumbents, as well as his own record as president, the people said. He first pitched the idea for a midterm political convention earlier this year, and his advisers are drawing up plans for the event.”

Filed Under: 2026 Campaign, Republicans

Republicans Unaware of Candidate’s Views on Women

October 24, 2025 at 6:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A Kentucky Republican official said the committee that recently selected Calvin Leach (R) as the GOP’s state Senate District 37 nominee was not aware of a blog post he authored that described women in vulgar and sexist terms, the Louisville Courier Journal reports.

Leach lamented his “encounter with the dating scene” and referred to women as “promiscuous skanks” who have been “put on a pedestal by society” and only date for personal gain.

He added: “These girls are soulless parasites. Don’t walk away. Run.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Republicans’ Purple Problem

October 24, 2025 at 9:28 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Charlie Cook: “Close association with Trump is not a handicap in red states and districts, for now at least. It is a benefit, keeping the band together. But outside red America, it is at best a strong headwind and in some cases, an anchor around the necks of GOP candidates. One way to look at red and blue America is to think about the states that are so red that a GOP candidate literally needs no support from independents, never mind Democrats, to win. The opposite is also the case in heavily Democratic states and districts, where a Democrat can win with no support among Republicans or independents.”

“Most states and congressional districts fall into one of those camps. But there are seven states and several dozen congressional districts that are not majority-Republican or -Democrat, where a candidate needs not just to hold his or her own party together but also a substantial share of the actual independents there. As this column has noted before, Trump is not at all popular in purple America, with only about a third of independents approving of the job he is doing.”

Filed Under: Republicans

‘My Last Day as an Accomplice of the Republican Party’

October 20, 2025 at 9:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

The Bulwark runs a fascinating essay about life as a GOP operative in the Trump era and the compromises you have to make.

This one decided he had enough.

Filed Under: Republicans

New York GOP to Disband Young Republicans

October 17, 2025 at 11:01 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“After racist texts among members of the New York State Young Republicans were made public, the party’s state leaders were slated to meet Friday and vote to disband the group,” the New York Times reports.

“The planned vote comes days after Politico disclosed how leaders of Young Republican groups across the country exchanged messages that included racist and antisemitic comments, with some participants’ discourse including comments about raping their political enemies and placing them in gas chambers.”

Filed Under: Republicans

No One in Young GOP Racist Group Chat Was a ‘Kid’

October 16, 2025 at 11:48 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Mother Jones: “The oldest appears to be Joe Maligno, who public records suggest is 35. In the chat, he spoke about gas chambers and used a racial slur toward Chinese people. Maligno previously identified himself as general counsel for the New York State Young Republicans.”

“Maligno did not respond to requests for comment from Politico. According to a Wednesday follow-up report from the outlet, he lost his job as an employee of the New York State Unified Court System.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Leaked Messages Expose Young Republicans’ Chat

October 14, 2025 at 2:29 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Leaders of Young Republican groups throughout the country worried what would happen if their Telegram chat ever got leaked, but they kept typing anyway,” Politico reports.

“They referred to Black people as monkeys and ‘the watermelon people’ and mused about putting their political opponents in gas chambers. They talked about raping their enemies and driving them to suicide and lauded Republicans who they believed support slavery.”

“The chat offers an unfiltered look at how a new generation of GOP activists talk when they think no one is listening.”

Filed Under: Republicans

Quote of the Day

October 14, 2025 at 8:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“There’s a lot of weak Republican men and they’re more afraid of strong Republican women. So they always try to marginalize the strong Republican women that actually want to do something and actually want to achieve.”

— Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-GA), quoted by the Washington Post.

Filed Under: Republicans

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About Political Wire

goddard-bw-snapshotTaegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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