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Why Trump Should Worry About His Approval Rate

May 6, 2020 at 8:32 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jonathan Bernstein: “Trump’s net approval is -8.1 (that is, 43.2 approval minus 51.3 disapproval). The three recent presidents who were easily re-elected had solid positive net approval at this point: Richard Nixon at +17.7, Bill Clinton at +16.1 and Ronald Reagan at +15.3. The two most recent presidents both won somewhat narrowly; at this point, Barack Obama was at +1.7 and George W. Bush at -0.3. And then there were the two most recent losers. George H.W. Bush had fallen from a then-record approval down to -6.8. Jimmy Carter was only at -2.7, but that was probably just a quirk of the data, since he had recently been at -10 and would soon sink even further underwater.”

“Both Carter and the first Bush dipped lower by Election Day; the three easy winners all improved further. That suggests there’s still time for Trump to either rise to a level where he could win re-election — or to plunge low enough for former Vice President Joe Biden to win something around 400 electoral votes.”

“The truth is that if voters react to the current recession the way they typically do in an election year, Trump will lose, and lose badly.”

Filed Under: White House

Box Scores Show Trump Was Actually Bad at Baseball

May 6, 2020 at 7:51 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Daily Beast: “Here’s a shock—President Trump, who has repeatedly boasted about how great he was at baseball in high school and how he could totally have gone pro if he’d wanted to, actually pretty much sucked at it.”

Filed Under: White House

The Plan Is to Have No Plan

May 5, 2020 at 10:57 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Jay Rosen: “The plan is to have no plan, to let daily deaths between one and three thousand become a normal thing, and then to create massive confusion about who is responsible— by telling the governors they’re in charge without doing what only the federal government can do, by fighting with the press when it shows up to be briefed, by fixing blame for the virus on China or some other foreign element, and by ‘flooding the zone with shit,’ Steve Bannon’s phrase for overwhelming the system with disinformation, distraction, and denial, which boosts what economists call ‘search costs’ for reliable intelligence.”

“Stated another way, the plan is to default on public problem solving, and then prevent the public from understanding the consequences of that default. To succeed this will require one of the biggest propaganda and freedom of information fights in U.S. history, the execution of which will, I think, consume the president’s re-election campaign.”

“So much has already been made public that the standard script for a White House cover up (worse than the crime…) won’t apply. Instead, everything will ride on the manufacture of confusion. The press won’t be able to ‘expose’ the plot because it will all happen in stark daylight. The facts will be known, and simultaneously they will be inconceivable.”

Filed Under: White House

Trump Doesn’t Wear Face Mask at Factory

May 5, 2020 at 5:32 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump did not wear a face mask at a Honeywell facility he toured in Arizona even though CNN reports a sign in the facility says “face mask required in this area.”

The AP has a photo of the sign at the entrance to the factory floor.

Filed Under: White House

Trump Blasts ‘Angry’ Female Reporters

May 5, 2020 at 5:08 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump complained to the New York Post that he found two female CBS News journalists — Weijia Jiang and Paula Reid — particularly irritating during his recent press briefings.

Said Trump: “It wasn’t Donna Reed, I can tell you that,” referring to the actress who played a 1950’s American archetypal mom.

He added: “Paula Reid, she’s sitting there and I say, ‘How angry. I mean, What’s the purpose?'”

Filed Under: Media Buzz, White House

Trump Says Washington, D.C. Will Never Be a State

May 5, 2020 at 3:42 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump told the New York Post that Washington, DC, won’t ever be a state because Republicans aren’t “stupid” enough to add guaranteed Democratic seats in Congress.

Said Trump: “DC will never be a state. You mean District of Columbia, a state? Why? So we can have two more Democratic — Democrat senators and five more congressmen? No thank you. That’ll never happen.”

Filed Under: White House

Trump Mulls Winding Down Coronavirus Task Force

May 5, 2020 at 3:14 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“Trump administration officials are telling members and staff of the coronavirus task force that the White House plans to wind down the operation in coming weeks despite growing evidence that the crisis is raging on,” the New York Times reports.

“It is not clear whether any other group might replace the task force. But its gradual demise, which officials said might never be formally announced, would only intensify the questions about whether the administration is adequately organized to address the complex, life-and-death decisions related to the virus and giving adequate voice to scientists and public health experts in making policy.”

CNN confirms the task force “will be phased down around Memorial Day.”

Filed Under: White House

Trump’s Approval Keeps Slipping

May 5, 2020 at 1:06 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

A new Monmouth poll finds President Trump’s job rating has ticked down again to 43% to 51% amid a sense he changes what he says about the coronavirus from day to day.

In fact, many Americans characterize some of the president’s treatment and prevention advice as harmful. When asked about the advice Trump has given about how to prevent and treat the coronavirus, 42% say it has been harmful, 33% say it has been helpful, and 23% say it is not particularly harmful or helpful.

Said pollster Patrick Murray: “The month to month shifts are well within the poll’s margin of error, but the overall trendline suggests that the public is growing less satisfied with Trump’s response to the pandemic.”

Filed Under: White House

Kushner’s Effort Hampered by Inexperience

May 5, 2020 at 12:58 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Washington Post: “The coronavirus response being spearheaded by President Trump’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner, has relied in part on volunteers from consulting and private equity firms with little expertise in the tasks to which they were assigned, exacerbating chronic problems in obtaining supplies for hospitals and other needs.”

Filed Under: White House Tagged With: Jared Kushner

Trump Vows Daily Briefings Will Be Back

May 5, 2020 at 8:44 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump told the New York Post that “everybody” enjoyed his White House coronavirus briefings — including himself — and vowed they will be back, just not daily.

Said Trump: “We set every record with those press conferences. Six million people all the time. You know we had tremendous numbers, literally, it was in Bret Baier’s slot, and we did like 30 in a row.”

He added: “I heard, is this true? It was the highest rated hour in cable television history. That’s what I heard. I don’t know if that’s true.”

Filed Under: White House

Trump Slams George Conway and Other ‘RINOs’

May 5, 2020 at 8:20 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump attacked the Republicans who put out the “Mourning in America” ad attacking him.

Said Trump: “A group of RINO Republicans who failed badly 12 years ago, then again 8 years ago, and then got BADLY beaten by me, a political first timer, 4 years ago, have copied (no imagination) the concept of an ad from Ronald Reagan, ‘Morning in America,’ doing everything possible to get even for all of their many failures.”

He added: “Their so-called Lincoln Project is a disgrace to Honest Abe. I don’t know what Kellyanne did to her deranged loser of a husband, Moonface, but it must have been really bad.”

Filed Under: Republicans, White House

Trump Got Exemption to Use Lincoln Memorial

May 4, 2020 at 7:56 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

New York Times: “While Mr. Trump and many other presidents have hosted inauguration concerts and gatherings on the memorial’s steps, any event meant to draw an audience inside the interior near Daniel Chester French’s sculpture of a seated Lincoln is prohibited. The area above the top of the steps, where the columns begin, constitutes a boundary protected by federal law.”

“So on Sunday, when the president sat down with two Fox News anchors at Lincoln’s marbled feet during a coronavirus-focused virtual ‘town hall,’ it was because a directive issued by David Bernhardt, the secretary of the interior, had allowed them to do so.”

Filed Under: White House

‘Trump Is Really Aiming to Take Down Fox’

May 4, 2020 at 6:01 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Gabriel Sherman: “When liberals look at Fox News, they tend to see Trump TV: a cable network that, with a few exceptions, has relentlessly pushed his policy objectives, and praised him in the terms that he loves. But that is not the way Donald Trump himself sees it…”

“Trump’s view that Fox is insufficiently loyal has motivated him to look for a more reliable media partner… Trump now is on the verge of having that alternative. According to sources, an investor group aligned with his son Don Jr. and the Dallas-based Hicks family has acquired a major stake in One America News Network, the fledgling conservative cable-news channel that features hosts like Jack Posobiec, a chief promoter of the Pizzagate conspiracy.”

Said one source: “This is all about building a Fox competitor. Trump is really aiming to take down Fox.”

Filed Under: Media Buzz, White House

Trump’s Pick for Spy Chief Follows Q-Anon Accounts

May 4, 2020 at 5:45 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

“For a nominee to helm the U.S. government’s intelligence apparatus, Rep. John Ratcliffe (R-TX) draws on some unusual sources of information,” the Daily Beast reports.

“Ratcliffe’s official, verified campaign Twitter account follows several accounts on the political fringe, including a 9/11 Truther account with just one follower besides himself and four promoting the outlandish QAnon conspiracy theory, which posits that the world is run by a cabal of Democratic pedophile-cannibals — and has been ruled a potential source of domestic terrorism by the FBI.”

Filed Under: National Security, White House

Inside the Trump-Pence Partnership

May 4, 2020 at 5:28 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

CNN: “The two men spend more time together now than at any point in their tenures, advisers said. As the outbreak wears on, Trump has grown to better understand Pence’s usefulness in ways some aides said he questioned before the crisis.”

“At some points in his presidency, Trump occasionally wondered aloud why he needed a vice president at all… Now, the President has taken to praising Pence’s efforts — even if he often seems to make them more difficult.”

Filed Under: White House

Why Are You So Obsessed With Obama?

May 4, 2020 at 11:45 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

Don Lemon addressed President Trump directly on CNN:

“What is it about President Obama that really gets under your skin? Is it because he’s smarter than you? Better educated? Made it on his own—didn’t need Daddy’s help? Wife is more accomplished? Better looking? I don’t know, what is it, what is it about him? That he’s a black man that’s accomplished being president? That he punked you on the whole birth certificate thing? What is it about him? Just wondering.”

Filed Under: White House

Trump Says His Reviews Are ‘Great’

May 4, 2020 at 9:22 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

As the death toll from coronavirus nears 70,000 in the United States, President Trump gave himself high marks this morning in dealing with the crisis:

“Getting great reviews, finally, for how well we are handling the pandemic, especially our strong production of desperately needed ventilators, the building of field hospitals & beds, and soon, the great things we are doing on testing. People are really working well together!”

Filed Under: White House

Trump’s Uncle ‘Would Have Been Horrified’

May 4, 2020 at 7:42 am EDT By Taegan Goddard Leave a Comment

President Trump has long said that he and his uncle, who taught physics at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and died in 1985, represent a rare breed of “super genius,” benefiting from the same genes, the Washington Post reports.

“A family friend who knew John Trump personally said the scientist would have recoiled at Donald Trump’s claim of scientific knowledge when promoting unproven drugs and other treatments.”

“‘The John Trump I knew would have been horrified,’ said John Van de Graaff, whose father, the famed scientist Robert Van de Graaff, was John Trump’s longtime business partner.”

Filed Under: Science, White House

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About Political Wire

Taegan Goddard is the founder of Political Wire, one of the earliest and most influential political web sites. He also runs Political Job Hunt, Electoral Vote Map and the Political Dictionary.

Goddard spent more than a decade as managing director and chief operating officer of a prominent investment firm in New York City. Previously, he was a policy adviser to a U.S. Senator and Governor.

Goddard is also co-author of You Won - Now What? (Scribner, 1998), a political management book hailed by prominent journalists and politicians from both parties. In addition, Goddard's essays on politics and public policy have appeared in dozens of newspapers across the country.

Goddard earned degrees from Vassar College and Harvard University. He lives in New York with his wife and three sons.

Goddard is the owner of Goddard Media LLC.

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